DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc (DKS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $18.7B
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc
DKS · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −4.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($102.56 to $245.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $102.56 (bear) to $245.14 (bull), base $181.10. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $64.42 – $241.35 · fair‑value band $102.56 – $245.14 · the $202.26 price screens above the $181.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc (DKS) currently trades at $202.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $181.10, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc generated revenue of $19.2B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 62.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at $6.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $102.56 (bear case) to $245.14 (bull case); at $202.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -10%, DKS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($196.45) versus Asset-Based ($43.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an omni-channel sporting goods retailer primarily in the United States. It provides hardlines, including sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and fishing gear products; and apparel.
Full company description
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an omni-channel sporting goods retailer primarily in the United States. It provides hardlines, including sporting goods equipment, fitness equipment, golf equipment, and fishing gear products; and apparel. The company also offers footwear and accessories, such as athletic shoes for running, walking, tennis, fitness and cross training, basketball, and hiking; and specialty footwear comprising casual footwear and a complete line of cleats for team sports. In addition, it owns and operates Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Public Lands, Moosejaw, and Going Going Gone! specialty concept stores; and DICK'S House of Sport and Golf Galaxy Performance Center, as well as GameChanger, a youth sports mobile app for live streaming, scheduling, communications, and scorekeeping. Further, the company owns and operates Foot Locker, which includes Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, WSS and atmos banners. It offers its products online, as well as through its mobile apps. The company was formerly known as Dick'S Clothing and Sporting Goods, Inc. and changed its name to DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. in April 1999. DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Coraopolis, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc reported revenue of $17.2B in FY2026 versus $12.3B in FY2022, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $849M in FY2026, compounding −13.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
DKS screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- DKS or TSCO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note
Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 223 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$93.19 | C$75.00 | -20% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $839.03 | $398.90 | -52% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $245.15 | $162.63 | -34% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $531.89 | $475.40 | -11% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.00 | $108.04 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥54.97 | ¥40.40 | -27% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $36.43 | $35.52 | -2% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $544.22 | $423.35 | -22% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 109.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -26% |
| Canadian Tire Corporation CTC | C$216.35 | C$166.05 | -23% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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