The Walt Disney Company (DIS) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $170B
The Walt Disney Company
DIS · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $96.11 to $94.03 (−2.2%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price +9.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($55.34 to $142.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $55.34 (bear) to $142.92 (bull), base $94.03. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.91 – $180.25 · fair‑value band $55.34 – $142.92 · the $104.80 price screens above the $94.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) currently trades at $104.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $94.03, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Walt Disney Company generated revenue of $97.3B at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $39.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $55.34 (bear case) to $142.92 (bull case); at $104.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -10%, DIS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($140.62) versus Dividend Discount ($16.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences.
Full company description
The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Walt Disney Company reported revenue of $94.4B in FY2025 versus $67.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $12.4B in FY2025, compounding +57.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
DIS screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How Disney’s Experiences Surge and New APAC Streaming Chief At Walt Disney (DIS) Has Changed Its Investment Story
- Disney (DIS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Peer Group
Entertainment · 268 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 20/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
| Saregama India Limited SAREGAMA | ₹516.05 | ₹214.51 | -58% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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