Walt Disney Company (DIS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $170B · ISIN US2546871060

What is Walt Disney Company really worth?

Walt Disney Company DIS · US

Price$107.16

Fair Value$94.03

Upside−12.3%

Quality64/100

A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of $94.03.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 11.5% net margin

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)

!Moderate moat 61/100

!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100

!Weak on dividend: 28 out of 100

For context

·1.40% dividend yield

Evidence: High Range $55.34 – $142.92

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +9.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range ($55.34 to $142.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $76.91 – $180.25 · fair‑value band $55.34 – $142.92 · the $107.16 price screens above the $94.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Walt Disney Company (DIS) currently trades at $107.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $94.03, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $140.62 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $107.16 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $16.08, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Walt Disney Company generated revenue of $97.3B at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at $39.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $55.34 (bear case) to $142.92 (bull case); at $107.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −12%, DIS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.42 per share, which is 4.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $49.59 $88.13 $147.67 78

Growth DCF $50.59 $84.43 $133.37 77

Owner Earnings $47.13 $84.26 $141.61 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $49.59 $88.13 $147.67 78

Owner Earnings $47.13 $84.26 $141.61 74

5Y Revenue Exit $51.35 $94.50 $149.91 71

5Y EBITDA Exit $63.98 $118.35 $182.20 73

5Y P/E Exit $74.83 $138.82 $206.66 69

10Y Revenue Exit $47.85 $87.26 $140.89 65

10Y EBITDA Exit $58.17 $103.90 $165.75 67

10Y P/E Exit $65.11 $118.19 $184.57 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $48.57 $157.85 $210.81 64

Lynch FV $35.25 $50.36 $65.47 61

PEG = 1.0 $35.25 $50.36 $65.47 57

EPV $51.22 $62.60 $72.55 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $9.53 $19.82 $31.45 66

DDM Multi-Stage $9.53 $16.08 $20.80 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $117.86 $157.15 $196.43 63

P/S Multiple $91.07 $121.43 $151.79 58

P/B Multiple $91.07 $121.43 $151.79 55

EV/EBIT $78.53 $110.39 $142.25 65

EV/EBITDA $82.23 $115.33 $148.43 67

EV/Revenue $55.43 $86.49 $117.56 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $31.63 $42.39 $63.27 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $50.59 $84.43 $133.37 77

Rev-Margin DCF $51.35 $94.31 $144.21 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income $57.41 $66.73 $132.92 72

ROIC Compounder $51.22 $62.60 $83.22 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $98.43 $140.62 $182.81 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($140.62) versus Dividend Discount ($16.08). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.1

P/S ratio 2.25 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) $6.25 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.1

Dividend yield 1.4% payout 24.0%

Net margin 13.1% FY2025

Return on equity 11.0% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% avg 5y

Operating margin 15.5% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) $97.3B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5% 3y avg +4.5%

EPS growth (YoY) −29.8%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow $10.1B FY2025

Net debt $39.2B FY2025 · ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 43

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 67

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 55

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 60

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 80

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 53

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 42

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 39

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 89

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences.

Full company description

The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company in Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company produces and distributes film and television content under the ABC Television Network, Disney, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brand television channels, as well as ABC television stations and A+E television networks; and produces original content under the Disney Branded Television, FX Productions, Lucasfilm, Marvel, National Geographic Studios, Pixar, Searchlight Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, 20th Television, and Walt Disney Pictures banners. It also provides direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, and Hulu; sports-related video streaming content through ESPN, ESPN on ABC, ESPN+ DTC, and Star; sale/licensing of film and episodic content to television and video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; DVD and Blu-ray discs, electronic home video licenses, and VOD rental services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort, Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Paris, Hong Kong Disneyland Resort, Shanghai Disney Resort, Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney, as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii. Further, it licenses its intellectual property (IP) to a third party that owns and operates Tokyo Disney Resort; licenses trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games; operates a direct-to-home satellite distribution platform; sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Walt Disney Company reported revenue of $94.4B in FY2025 versus $67.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $12.4B in FY2025, compounding +57.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

$94.4B

Latest YoY

+3.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+4.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+7.6%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+10.1%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+26.4% (25.0 + 1.4)

Revenue +8.8%/yr

FY21 $67.4B

FY22 $82.7B

FY23 $88.9B

FY24 $91.4B

FY25 $94.4B

Net income +57.9%/yr

FY21 $2.0B

FY22 $3.1B

FY23 $2.4B

FY24 $5.0B

FY25 $12.4B

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.5 % p.a.

Revenue per share +5.6 %

of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.8 %

EBIT margin −7.3 %

Tax rate +4.1 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

DIS screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Walt Disney Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIS

Peer Group

Entertainment · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −12% · Above median

Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%

Return on assets 4% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%

Revenue growth 7% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median

Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.1× · Cheaper than median

P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 1.74× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

PEG 2.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE17 · sector 7

FUTURE33 · sector 15

PAST44 · sector 0

HEALTH84 · sector 98

DIVIDEND28 · sector 41

Insider activity: 20/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX	$81.72	$49.35	−40%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD	$27.65	$9.03	−67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV	$182.02	$59.97	−67%
Universal Music Group UMG	€14.73	€14.78	+0%
TKO Group TKO	$189.42	$47.75	−75%
Formula One Group FWONK	$102.02	$35.21	−65%
Fox Corporation FOXA	$68.42	$206.81	+202%
News Corporation NWS	A$46.55	A$20.41	−56%
Warner Music Group WMG	$24.79	$12.10	−51%
Bolloré SE BOL	€3.85	€2.11	−45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Walt Disney Company (DIS) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $94.03 versus a price of $107.16, about −12% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of DIS?

Our model-based fair value for Walt Disney Company is $94.03 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $107.16.

What is the quality score of DIS?

Walt Disney Company has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the revenue of Walt Disney Company (DIS)?

Walt Disney Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $97.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of DIS?

The net profit margin of Walt Disney Company is about 11.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Walt Disney Company pay a dividend?

Walt Disney Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.40% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).

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