Copa Holdings SA (CPA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.7B · ISIN USP310761056
What is Copa Holdings SA really worth?
Copa Holdings SA
CPA · US
A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of $155.52.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $235.77 to $155.52 (−34.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −11.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($75.02 to $243.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.31 – $157.19 · fair‑value band $75.02 – $243.39 · the $129.41 price screens below the $155.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Copa Holdings SA (CPA) currently trades at $129.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $155.52, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $281.03 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $129.41 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $45.07, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Copa Holdings SA generated revenue of $3.8B at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue grew 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.4%. Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $75.02 (bear case) to $243.39 (bull case); at $129.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 20%, CPA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $7.19 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($281.03) versus Asset-Based ($45.07). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
Notify me when CPA reaches fair value
Put CPA on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Copa Holdings SA reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was $672M in FY2025, compounding +97.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
of which total revenue +4.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch CPA: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Zacks Industry Outlook Delta Air, American Airlines, and Copa
- Copa (CPA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Copa Holdings (CPA) Stock Still Looks Reasonable On Strong Q2 Results
- Copa Holdings SA (CPA) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Solid Profit Amid Fuel Cost Surge, ...
Peer Group
Airlines · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $80.07 | $115.82 | +45% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $110.60 | $175.62 | +59% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $38.73 | $14.76 | −62% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,166 | ₹3,073 | −41% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.09 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +11% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.94 | ¥7.16 | +21% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $52.50 | $106.79 | +103% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.08 | ¥1.28 | −75% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG LHA | €7.99 | €18.94 | +137% |
Compare Copa Holdings SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Copa Holdings SA (CPA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CPA?
What is the quality score of CPA?
What is the revenue of Copa Holdings SA (CPA)?
What is the net profit margin of CPA?
Does Copa Holdings SA pay a dividend?
Watch Copa Holdings SA in the live analysis
One click puts Copa Holdings SA on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.