Catena AB (CATE) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 27.2B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 195.75 to kr 421.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 276.95 – kr 560.78 · fair‑value band kr 195.75 – kr 421.08 · the kr 398.60 price screens above the kr 298.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Catena AB (CATE) currently trades at kr 398.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 298.00, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Catena AB generated revenue of 2.7B SEK at a net margin of 62.3%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at 17.9B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 195.75 (bear case) to kr 421.08 (bull case); at kr 398.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -25%, CATE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 409.50) versus Asset-Based (kr 241.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Catena AB (publ) owns, develops, manages, and sells logistics properties in Sweden and Denmark. It provides terminals for immediate transshipment; logistics warehouses for storage; distribution centers; warehouses for cold storage; fully automated warehouses; omni warehouses; and city logistics.
Full company description
Catena AB (publ) owns, develops, manages, and sells logistics properties in Sweden and Denmark. It provides terminals for immediate transshipment; logistics warehouses for storage; distribution centers; warehouses for cold storage; fully automated warehouses; omni warehouses; and city logistics. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Helsingborg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Catena AB reported revenue of kr 2.7B in FY2025 versus kr 1.4B in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 1.6B in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +16.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CATE screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 128.80 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 66.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +8% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,591 | ₹645.21 | -59% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.74 | -63% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.55 SAR | 11.60 SAR | -34% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 54.08 | kr 70.70 | +31% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.94 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥23.19 | ¥4.60 | -80% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 52.49 MXN | -12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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