BASF SE (BAS) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €42.9B · ISIN DE000BASF111
What is BASF SE really worth?
A solid business, but trading 32% above our fair value of €40.28.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from €25.56 to €40.28 (+57.6%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€46.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €30.62 – €54.00 · fair‑value band €36.08 – €46.98 · the €53.36 price screens above the €40.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
BASF SE (BAS) currently trades at €53.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €40.28, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €31.12 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €53.36 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €9.45, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, BASF SE generated revenue of €59.2B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. Net debt stands at €21.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €36.08 (bear case) to €46.98 (bull case); at €53.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −25%, BAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€31.12) versus Earnings-Based (€2.88). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates.
Full company description
BASF SE operates as a chemical company worldwide. It operates through six segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. The Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals and intermediates. The Materials segment offers advanced materials and their precursors for applications and systems comprising isocyanates, polyamides, and inorganic basic products, as well as specialties for the plastics and plastics processing industries. The Industrial Solutions segment develops and markets ingredients and additives for industrial applications, such as polymer dispersions, resins, additives, chemical and refining catalysts, electronic materials, and antioxidants for automotive, petrochemical and petroleum processing, plastics and electronics, construction, electronics, paper coatings, and energy and resources industries. The Surface Technologies segment provides catalysts, battery materials, automotive OEM and refinish coatings, surface treatment, and precious and base metal services for the automotive and chemical industries. The Nutrition & Care segment offers ingredients for consumer applications in the areas of nutrition, home, and personal care applications; and serves the food and feed producers, pharmaceutical, cosmetics, detergents, and cleaner industries, as well as the consumer goods sector. The Agricultural Solutions segment provides seeds and traits, and seed treatment products; fungicides, herbicides, insecticides, and biological crop protection products; and digital solutions. The company engages in engineering and other; rental and leasing; and renewable energy trading, commodity trading activities. BASF SE was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Ludwigshafen am Rhein, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
BASF SE reported revenue of €59.7B in FY2025 versus €78.6B in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.6B in FY2025, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BAS screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Update: Market Chatter: Apple Sued by BASF Over Facial Authentication Technology
- Sustainable Bioplastics Market Report 2026-2036 Now Available. 423-Page Study Profiling BASF, Dow, Eastman Chemical, NatureWorks, SABIC, and
- Ammonia Market Report 2026-2036 Now Available; Surpasses $89.95B in Global Revenue for 2026, Profiling BASF, Yara International, CF Industri
- BASF and NEO Corporate Team Up to Advance Personal Care Innovation
Peer Group
Chemicals · 339 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 | 49.50 SAR | 18.13 SAR | −63% |
| A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP | $849.00 | $203.64 | −76% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥24.49 | ¥20.17 | −18% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $30.51 | $21.03 | −31% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥41.32 | ¥21.62 | −48% |
| Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 | ¥13.76 | ¥2.39 | −83% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥78.04 | ¥20.99 | −73% |
| Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 | ¥52.53 | ¥16.17 | −69% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,855 IDR | 1,584 IDR | −15% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥18.87 | ¥17.09 | −9% |
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