Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Basic Materials · US · Market cap $7.3B · ISIN VGG069731120
At a glance
AMAura Minerals Inc. Common SharesAUGO · US
Price$86.01
Fair Value$118.20
Upside+37.4%
Quality47/100
Below-average quality, trading 27% below our fair value of $118.20.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares is $118.20 per share against a price of $86.01, so the fair value sits 37% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.2% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.71% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
✓Wide moat 85/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $86.74 to $154.94
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $59.34 to $118.20 (+99.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +14.1% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario.
Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7114 – $124.64 · fair‑value band $86.74 – $154.94 · the $86.01 price screens below the $118.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO) currently trades at $86.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $118.20, implying the stock looks roughly 27.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $62.86 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $86.01 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.89, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 7.8%. Revenue grew 136.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.3%. Net debt stands at $125M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Scenario range: $86.74 (bear) to $154.94 (bull), the price of $86.01 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 304% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 37%, AUGO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio76.8
P/S ratio4.97TTM
EPS (TTM)$1.12price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.8
Dividend yield1.7%payout 131%
Net margin−8.6%FY2025
Return on equity40.3%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)19.0%avg 5y
Operating margin52.9%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$1.1BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+137%3y avg +32.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow$78.5MFY2025
Net debt$125MFY2025 · ≈ 1.6 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality47/100
Of which business quality 43
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance41
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments.
Full company description
Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments. The company primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Aura Gold Inc. and changed its name to Aura Minerals Inc. in July 2007. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares reported revenue of $922M in FY2025 versus $424M in FY2021, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$79.3M in FY2025.
Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$922M
Latest YoY
+55.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.2%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
31.9% (2020) → 20.9% (2023)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside+39% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)100% · Top 25%
Return on assets30% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)51% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth76% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.17× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)76.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B28.54× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.89× · Pricier than median
P/FCF96.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA9.7× · Pricier than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE83· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 100
PAST100· sector 2
HEALTH41· sector 98
DIVIDEND34· sector 21
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
Is Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $118.20 versus a price of $86.01, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUGO?
Our model-based fair value for Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares is $118.20 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $86.01.
What is the quality score of AUGO?
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $118.20 (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $86.74, optimistic scenario $154.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $118.20, about +37% upside versus a price of $86.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $86.74, optimistic scenario $154.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO)?
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUGO?
The net profit margin of Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares is about 7.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares pay a dividend?
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares would have to grow free cash flow by +26.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +25.2 % per year. As of Aug 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUGO use?
Our models discount Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares it is $118.20 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026), against a price of $86.01. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 27, 2026, AUGO trades below its calculated fair value: price $86.01, fair value $118.20, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($86.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($118.20). For Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares the two are $32.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares worth?
The market values Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares at about $7.3B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 27, 2026). Per share that is $86.01; our models calculate a fair value of $118.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUGO?
Our models span a range for Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares: cautious scenario $86.74, base $118.20, optimistic $154.94 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026, price $86.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AUGO?
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 76.8 (as of Aug 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $118.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 28.5, P/S 5.9, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (AUGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares (as of Aug 27, 2026): return on equity 100.2%, debt of 1.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AUGO from its 52-week high?
Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares trades at $86.01, about 21% below its 52-week high of $109.18 and 304% above the low of $21.29 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $118.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 27, 2026: price $86.01, calculated fair value $118.20 (+37%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUGO calculated?
We run Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $118.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
AUGO · US