Ally Financial Inc (ALLY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $14.0B · ISIN US02005N1000
What is Ally Financial Inc really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 21% above our fair value of $36.13.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $19.94 – $47.56 · fair‑value band $27.10 – $45.17 · the $43.59 price screens above the $36.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Ally Financial Inc (ALLY) currently trades at $43.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.13, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $40.65 per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the $43.59 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $17.42, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ally Financial Inc generated revenue of $7.7B at a net margin of 18.2%. Revenue grew 19.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at $11.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $27.10 (bear case) to $45.17 (bull case); at $43.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −17%, ALLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.98 per share, which is 5.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($40.65) versus Dividend Discount ($17.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ally Financial Inc., a digital financial-services company, provides various digital financial products and services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Automotive Finance operations, Insurance operations, and Corporate Finance operations.
Full company description
Ally Financial Inc., a digital financial-services company, provides various digital financial products and services in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Automotive Finance operations, Insurance operations, and Corporate Finance operations. It offers automotive financing services, including providing retail installment sales contracts, loans and operating leases, term loans to dealers, financing dealer floorplans and other lines of credit to dealers, warehouse lines to automotive retailers, and fleet financing; and financing services to companies and municipalities for the purchase or lease of vehicles, and vehicle-remarketing services. The company also provides consumer finance protection and insurance products through the automotive dealer channel, and commercial insurance products directly to dealers; VSCs, VMCs, and GAP products; and underwrite select commercial insurance coverages, which primarily insure dealers' vehicle inventory. In addition, it provides senior secured asset-based and leveraged cash flow loans to middle-market companies; leveraged loans; commercial real estate product to serve companies in the nursing facilities, senior housing, and medical office buildings; and treasury activities, such as management of the cash and corporate investment securities and loan portfolios, short- and long-term debt, retail and brokered deposit liabilities, derivative instruments, original issue discount, and equity investments. Further, the company offers deposits and securities brokerage and investment advisory services. The company was formerly known as GMAC Inc. and changed its name to Ally Financial Inc. in May 2010. Ally Financial Inc. was founded in 1919 and is based in Detroit, Michigan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ally Financial Inc reported revenue of $12.2B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $852M in FY2025, compounding −27.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution +5.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ALLY screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Ally’s Widespread Digital Outage Altering The Investment Case For Ally Financial (ALLY)?
- Ally Financial (ALLY) Outage Puts Its Undervalued Narrative To The Test
- Most Active Options Report: DELL, CRDO, GTLB, RUN, ALLY
- Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Ally Financial, GitLab, GLOBAL FOUNDRIES, Martin Marietta Materials, Rocket Lab
Peer Group
Credit Services · 324 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $379.66 | $198.27 | −48% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $591.73 | $221.87 | −63% |
| American Express Company AXP | $334.16 | $206.40 | −38% |
| Capital One Financial Corporation COF | $215.67 | $117.51 | −46% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,093 | ₹397.70 | −64% |
| PayPal Holdings PYPL | $61.47 | $77.12 | +25% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,134 | ₹553.82 | −51% |
| Synchrony Financial, SYF | $78.05 | $137.28 | +76% |
| SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI | $18.06 | $5.02 | −72% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,866 | ₹796.47 | −57% |
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