Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.3B · ISIN US01748X1028
What is Allegiant Travel Company really worth?
Allegiant Travel Company
ALGT · US
Below-average quality, trading 19% below our fair value of $93.70.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from $46.85 to $93.70 (+100.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −27.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($93.70). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $36.36 – $210.89 · fair‑value band $93.70 – $148.08 · the $75.86 price screens below the $93.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) currently trades at $75.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $93.70, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $53.55 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the $75.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $25.80, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Allegiant Travel Company generated revenue of $2.6B at a net margin of −1.3%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.1%. Net debt stands at $1.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $93.70 (bear case) to $148.08 (bull case); at $75.86, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 45% fair-value upside, at 24%, ALGT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7850 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($53.55) versus Growth DCF ($3.74). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations.
Full company description
Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including larger seats, baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance from a third-party insurer; air transportation services; and charter services on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company owns and operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allegiant Travel Company reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.7M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Allegiant to Launch New Nonstop Flights for Boosting Connectivity
- Allegiant Travel Enters Oversold Territory (ALGT)
- ALGT Q2 Earnings Beat on Unit Revenue Strength, Sales Miss
- Allegiant Travel (ALGT)–Sun Country Merger Poised to Enhance Operational Synergies
Peer Group
Airlines · 57 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $80.07 | $115.82 | +45% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $110.60 | $175.62 | +59% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $38.73 | $14.76 | −62% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,166 | ₹3,073 | −41% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.09 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +11% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.94 | ¥7.16 | +21% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $52.50 | $106.79 | +103% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.08 | ¥1.28 | −75% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG LHA | €7.99 | €18.94 | +137% |
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