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Aker BP ASA (AKRBP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · NO · Market cap 207B NOK (≈ $22.3B) · ISIN NO0010345853

What is Aker BP ASA really worth?

AB Aker BP ASA AKRBP · OL
Pricekr 352.20
Fair Valuekr 139.52
Upside−60.4%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 152% above our fair value of kr 139.52.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +30.7 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·7.46% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range kr 139.52 – kr 139.52

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from kr 111.32 to kr 139.52 (+25.3%) since Aug 20, 2026. Share price +6.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 139.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 362.00 kr 147.33 Fair Value kr 139.52 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 147.33 – kr 362.00 · the kr 352.20 price screens above the kr 139.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Aker BP ASA (AKRBP) currently trades at kr 352.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 139.52, implying the stock looks roughly 152.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of kr 628.47 per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the kr 352.20 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 51.59, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Aker BP ASA generated revenue of $10.8B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at $6.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −60%, AKRBP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV kr 407.19 kr 503.56 kr 589.20 74
Residual Income kr 180.85 kr 172.15 kr 130.85 74
ROIC Compounder kr 588.33 kr 921.91 kr 1,229 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 20.58 kr 143.89 kr 202.00 61
Lynch FV kr 65.21 kr 93.18 kr 121.14 59
PEG = 1.0 kr 65.21 kr 93.18 kr 121.14 55
EPV kr 407.19 kr 503.56 kr 589.20 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 351.40 kr 767.15 kr 1,291 63
DDM Multi-Stage kr 351.40 kr 628.47 kr 799.61 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 31.88 kr 42.46 kr 53.04 63
P/S Multiple kr 38.69 kr 51.59 kr 64.48 58
P/B Multiple kr 38.69 kr 51.59 kr 64.48 55
EV/EBIT kr 680.20 kr 953.21 kr 1,226 66
EV/EBITDA kr 598.47 kr 844.24 kr 1,090 67
EV/Revenue kr 72.16 kr 162.59 kr 252.87 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 128.82 kr 172.59 kr 257.50 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 180.85 kr 172.15 kr 130.85 74
ROIC Compounder kr 588.33 kr 921.91 kr 1,229 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 77.96 kr 111.29 kr 144.62 65

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (kr 628.47) versus Multiples (kr 51.59). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.7
P/S ratio 0.19 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 22.45 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7
Dividend yield 7.5% payout 117%
Net margin 1.2% FY2025
Return on equity 12.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 19.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 75.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $11.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.0% 3y avg −5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +140%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$217M FY2025
Net debt $6.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, field development, and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. It operates field centers, including Valhall, Ula, Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen, Alvheim, and Skarv. The company was formerly known as Det norske oljeselskap ASA and changed its name to Aker BP ASA in October 2016.

Full company description

Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, field development, and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. It operates field centers, including Valhall, Ula, Edvard Grieg/Ivar Aasen, Alvheim, and Skarv. The company was formerly known as Det norske oljeselskap ASA and changed its name to Aker BP ASA in October 2016. Aker BP ASA was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Lysaker, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aker BP ASA reported revenue of $10.9B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was $132M in FY2025, compounding −36.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.9B
Latest YoY
−10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−4.3% (−11.8 + 7.5)
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $12.9B
FY23 $13.6B
FY24 $12.2B
FY25 $10.9B
Net income −36.8%/yr
FY21 $828M
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $132M

AKRBP screens 152% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aker BP ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKRBP

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 296 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 42% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.75× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.87× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 9
FUTURE100 · sector 7
PAST48 · sector 9
HEALTH63 · sector 87
DIVIDEND100 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 −1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $130.35 $90.15 −31%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ C$69.03 C$44.78 −35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.35 $132.20 −8%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $59.17 $30.06 −49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $200.52 $105.24 −48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $47.35 $27.06 −43%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 −36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.57 $42.85 −21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $366.50 $77.26 −79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aker BP ASA (AKRBP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 139.52 versus a price of kr 352.20, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKRBP?
Our model-based fair value for Aker BP ASA is kr 139.52 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 352.20.
What is the quality score of AKRBP?
Aker BP ASA has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aker BP ASA (AKRBP)?
Aker BP ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AKRBP?
The net profit margin of Aker BP ASA is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aker BP ASA pay a dividend?
Aker BP ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.46% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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