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Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$80.0B (≈ $10.2B)

What is Seres Group Co.,Ltd really worth?

SG Seres Group Co.,Ltd 9927 · HK
PriceHK$38.58
Fair ValueHK$72.56
Upside+88.1%
Quality63/100

A solid business, trading 47% below our fair value of HK$72.56.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +69.1 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (11/13)

Risks

!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.88% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range HK$54.42 – HK$109.81

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$72.49 to HK$72.56 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −14.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$54.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$54.42 to HK$109.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

HK$129.79 HK$38.30 Fair Value HK$72.56 Nov 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range HK$38.30 – HK$129.79 · fair‑value band HK$54.42 – HK$109.81 · the HK$38.58 price screens below the HK$72.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) currently trades at HK$38.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$72.56, implying the stock looks roughly 46.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$185.15 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$38.58 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$13.13, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Seres Group Co.,Ltd generated revenue of HK$172B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 34.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$82.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$54.42 (bear case) to HK$109.81 (bull case); at HK$38.58, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 88%, 9927 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence HK$68.20 HK$72.90 HK$77.02 74
FCF DCF HK$239.34 HK$353.70 HK$717.87 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$127.63 HK$171.19 HK$255.70 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$239.34 HK$353.70 HK$717.87 71
Owner Earnings HK$88.60 HK$150.66 HK$280.95 68
5Y Revenue Exit HK$121.03 HK$157.85 HK$233.05 68
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$127.63 HK$171.19 HK$255.70 70
5Y P/E Exit HK$121.99 HK$185.15 HK$264.68 66
10Y Revenue Exit HK$155.28 HK$241.09 HK$279.34 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$161.58 HK$255.28 HK$400.82 63
10Y P/E Exit HK$157.46 HK$243.15 HK$368.85 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$19.39 HK$135.25 HK$189.81 59
Lynch FV HK$69.88 HK$99.82 HK$129.77 57
PEG = 1.0 HK$69.88 HK$99.82 HK$129.77 53
EPV best evidence HK$68.20 HK$72.90 HK$77.02 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$9.76 HK$20.29 HK$32.19 62
DDM Multi-Stage HK$9.76 HK$17.11 HK$21.30 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$36.36 HK$48.49 HK$60.61 63
P/S Multiple HK$36.36 HK$48.49 HK$60.61 58
P/B Multiple HK$36.36 HK$48.49 HK$60.61 55
EV/EBIT HK$77.74 HK$90.34 HK$102.94 66
EV/EBITDA HK$83.77 HK$98.38 HK$112.99 67
EV/Revenue HK$72.70 HK$86.74 HK$100.78 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$9.80 HK$13.13 HK$19.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$227.49 HK$412.20 HK$714.86 70
Rev-Margin DCF HK$128.12 HK$175.22 HK$275.54 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$19.38 HK$25.13 HK$67.14 62
ROIC Compounder HK$68.20 HK$72.90 HK$77.02 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$85.97 HK$122.81 HK$159.65 63

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$185.15) versus Asset-Based (HK$13.13). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.1 as of Jul 3, 2026
P/S ratio 0.40 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.4058 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1
Dividend yield 2.9%
Net margin 3.6% FY2025
Return on equity 18.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$172B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.5% 3y avg +69.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −14.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$24.7B FY2025
Net cash HK$82.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd.

Full company description

Seres Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sales, and servicing of new energy vehicles and components in China and internationally. It offers vehicles, powertrains, batteries, and electric motors. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Seres Group Co.,Ltd. in July 2022. Seres Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Seres Group Co.,Ltd reported revenue of 165B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +77.3%/yr. Reported net income was 6.0B CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$165B
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+69.1%
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +77.3%/yr
FY21 16.7B CNY
FY22 34.1B CNY
FY23 35.8B CNY
FY24 145B CNY
FY25 165B CNY
Net income
FY21 −1.8B CNY
FY22 −3.8B CNY
FY23 −2.4B CNY
FY24 5.9B CNY
FY25 6.0B CNY

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Seres Group Co.,Ltd · Fair Value
HK$72.56 +47%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seres Group Co.,Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9927

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +88% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 24
FUTURE100 · sector 27
PAST74 · sector 22
HEALTH95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND58 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $191.84 $247.83 +29%
BYD Company 81211 HK$76.90 HK$48.59 −37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 418,500 KRW 567,393 KRW +36%
Ferrari N.V RACE €355.50 €167.67 −53%
General Motors Company GM $86.27 $52.69 −39%
Ford Motor Company F $13.88 $11.51 −17%
Mercedes-Benz Group MBG €46.95 €106.16 +126%
Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 €43.91 €17.34 −61%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹12,694 ₹8,236 −35%
Volkswagen AG VOW3 €77.42 €248.34 +221%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$72.56 versus a price of HK$38.58, about +88% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9927?
Our model-based fair value for Seres Group Co.,Ltd is HK$72.56 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$38.58.
What is the quality score of 9927?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Seres Group Co.,Ltd (9927)?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$172B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9927?
The net profit margin of Seres Group Co.,Ltd is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Seres Group Co.,Ltd pay a dividend?
Seres Group Co.,Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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