Geely Automobile Holdings (80175) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$270B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$20.27 to HK$19.14 (−5.6%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 24% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$14.36 to HK$57.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range HK$6.49 – HK$21.74 · fair‑value band HK$14.36 – HK$57.74 · the HK$15.39 price screens below the HK$19.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Geely Automobile Holdings (80175) currently trades at HK$15.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$19.14, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Geely Automobile Holdings generated revenue of HK$356B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$45.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$14.36 (bear case) to HK$57.74 (bull case); at HK$15.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 24%, 80175 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$50.61) versus Dividend Discount (HK$2.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Geely Automobile Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automobile manufacturer primarily in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Geely Automobile Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automobile manufacturer primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the research and development, production, marketing, and sale of passenger vehicles; automobile parts; and related automobile components, including electric powertrain and battery systems, as well as provides related after-sales and technical services. It also offers electric mobility related products under the ZEEKR brand; automotive design, software systems development, modular development, intelligent electric vehicles virtual engineering, and mobility technology solutions; knockdown kits; export of vehicles; automotive-related integrated vehicle services; and provision of general logistic, packing, and storage services. It operates in Eastern Europe, the Netherlands, Sweden, France, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, Africa, and internationally. Geely Automobile Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Geely Automobile Holdings reported revenue of HK$345B in FY2025 versus HK$102B in FY2021, a compound +35.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$16.9B in FY2025, compounding +36.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +24.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 80175: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Ford and Geely Agree to Share Underused Spanish Auto Factory
- Geely (SEHK:175) Expands Valvoline Partnership With Long Term Aftersales Lubricant Deal
- Geely (SEHK:175) Faces A New US Problem As Polestar Sales Are Blocked
- Mr. An’s Board Return And What It Means For Geely Investors
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.22 | $247.83 | +32% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,610 MXN | +37% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.72 | C$3.70 | -68% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,783 CZK | +262% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,875 | ₹8,236 | -41% |
| Kia Corporation 000270 | 135,600 KRW | 341,751 KRW | +152% |
| Weichai Power Co 2338 | HK$36.40 | HK$28.46 | -22% |
| Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO | ₹11,700 | ₹4,574 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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