Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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A solid business, but trading 448% above our fair value of ¥12.05.
As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd is ¥12.05 per share against a price of ¥66.00, so the fair value sits 82% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
·1.01% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 20 out of 100
Evidence: HighRange ¥8.20 to ¥15.06
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −8.2% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range (¥8.20 to ¥15.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.65 – ¥99.89 · fair‑value band ¥8.20 – ¥15.06 · the ¥66.00 price screens above the ¥12.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) currently trades at ¥66.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.05, implying the stock looks roughly 447.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥16.81 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥66.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.54, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 20.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 355M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Scenario range: ¥8.20 (bear) to ¥15.06 (bull), the price of ¥66.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −82%, 605389 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0285 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio93.0
P/S ratio10.9P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)¥0.7100price ÷ EPS = P/E 93.0
Dividend yield1.0%payout 94.2%
Net margin11.8%FY2025
Return on equity6.7%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)7.1%avg 5y
Operating margin17.7%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)1.1B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+20.2%3y avg +6.2%
EPS growth (YoY)+23.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow84.0M CNYFY2025
Net cash355M CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality52/100
Of which business quality 53
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Profitability35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance0
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of hydraulic components in China and internationally.
Full company description
JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of hydraulic components in China and internationally. The company offers slewing drives, slewing drives for solar tracking systems, hydraulic centre joints, adjuster cylinders, spring tensioning devices, valves, and pin bushing products; central turning joints and springs; precision castings, such as compressor and automotive castings; and photovoltaic and construction machinery rotary reducers, as well as related accessories. It also engages in investment activities. The company's products are used in various industries, including construction machinery, mining machinery, and offshore operations. JiangSu Changling Hydraulic Co.,Ltd was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Jiangyin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 907M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 126M CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.0%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+21.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−16.5%
Dividend yield1.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −16.5% vs 10Y −5.8%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31.4% (2020) → 18.4% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop70% (2018) · in CNY
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.3%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)93.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)12.45× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF24.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA53.3× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+36.0 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+4.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price0.68 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.3 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 3
FUTURE100· sector 16
PAST27· sector 28
HEALTH0· sector 97
DIVIDEND20· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.05 versus a price of ¥66.00, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 605389?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd is ¥12.05 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥66.00.
What is the quality score of 605389?
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥12.05 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥8.20, optimistic scenario ¥15.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥12.05, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥66.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥8.20, optimistic scenario ¥15.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605389?
The net profit margin of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +36.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.4 % per year. As of Aug 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 605389 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.95, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd it is ¥12.05 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026), against a price of ¥66.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 19, 2026, 605389 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥66.00, fair value ¥12.05, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 605389?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥66.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥12.05). For Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd the two are ¥53.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd at about 13.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Aug 19, 2026). Per share that is ¥66.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥12.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605389?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd: cautious scenario ¥8.20, base ¥12.05, optimistic ¥15.06 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026, price ¥66.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 605389?
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 93.0 (as of Aug 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥12.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.6, P/S 12.5, EV/EBITDA 53.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (605389)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd (as of Aug 19, 2026): return on equity 6.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 605389 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd trades at ¥66.00, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥101.48 and 155% above the low of ¥25.93 (as of Aug 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥12.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 19, 2026: price ¥66.00, calculated fair value ¥12.05 (−82%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 605389 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥12.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Changling Hydraulic Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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