Sinotrans Limited (601598) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 46.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +18.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.93 to ¥10.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥4.93 (bear) to ¥10.63 (bull), base ¥7.38. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.19 – ¥7.80 · fair‑value band ¥4.93 – ¥10.63 · the ¥6.46 price screens below the ¥7.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sinotrans Limited (601598) currently trades at ¥6.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.38, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinotrans Limited generated revenue of 94.6B CNY at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.93 (bear case) to ¥10.63 (bull case); at ¥6.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 14%, 601598 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥10.21) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinotrans Limited provides integrated logistics services primarily in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Agency and Related Business, Professional Logistics, and E-commerce.
Full company description
Sinotrans Limited provides integrated logistics services primarily in the People's Republic of China. It operates through three segments: Agency and Related Business, Professional Logistics, and E-commerce. The company offers sea freight, air freight, rail freight, shipping agency, terminals and containers, yards, feeder/barges, logistics information systems, and supply chain security. It also engages in the e-commerce business consisting of cross-border e-commerce logistics, logistics e-commerce platform, and logistics equipment sharing platform, as well as agency and related businesses that includes services, such as ocean freight, air freight, railway, and shipping agency; and depot station services. In addition, the company provides integrated logistics solutions, including contract, project, chemical, cold chain, and other logistics services. Further, it offers freight forwarding, logistics and storage, courier, transportation, lifting, container leasing, storage, storage yards, container loading and unloading stations, and terminal services, as well as tracking and monitoring services for logistics equipment. The company offers its services online. Sinotrans Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinotrans Limited reported revenue of ¥96.8B in FY2025 versus ¥124B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.0B in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $103.91 | $103.34 | -1% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $326.77 | $347.68 | +6% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.32 | €53.18 | -4% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,380 | kr 712.57 | -48% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $275.96 | $133.80 | -52% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$185.20 | HK$224.26 | +21% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 199,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +135% |
| YTO Express Group 600233 | ¥18.48 | ¥26.51 | +43% |
| JD Logistics, Inc 2618 | HK$14.17 | HK$21.45 | +51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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