Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (3808) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$111B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$53.51 to HK$53.57 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from HK$39.86 (bear) to HK$67.27 (bull), base HK$53.57. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$5.51 – HK$47.56 · fair‑value band HK$39.86 – HK$67.27 · the HK$39.52 price screens below the HK$53.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (3808) currently trades at HK$39.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$53.57, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited generated revenue of HK$110B at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at HK$3.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$39.86 (bear case) to HK$67.27 (bull case); at HK$39.52, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 36%, 3808 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$66.60) versus Asset-Based (HK$10.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 3808 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light-duty trucks (LDT), and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally.
Full company description
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light-duty trucks (LDT), and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Heavy Duty Trucks, Light Duty Trucks and Others, and Finance. The company offers HDTs under the SITRAK, HOWO, and Huanghe brands; specialty vehicles; medium-duty trucks, LDTs, buses, and other vehicles under the HOWO, Homan, and Wangpai brands; and auto-finance services to finance the end-users and the dealers. It also provides key assemblies, parts, and components, such as engines, cabins, axles, steel frames, and gearboxes. In addition, the company is involved in consultation and strategic planning in respect of the automobile market; research and development, manufacture, and sale of commercial vehicles; and truck refitting. It serves logistics, transportation, and infrastructure construction industries. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Jinan, China. Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited operates as a subsidiary of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited reported revenue of HK$110B in FY2025 versus HK$93.4B in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.0B in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 3808: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
| Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co 1157 | HK$6.96 | HK$11.25 | +62% |
Compare Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (3808) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 3808?
What is the quality score of 3808?
What is the revenue of Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (3808)?
What is the net profit margin of 3808?
Does Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.