Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co (1157) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$59.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$11.16 to HK$11.25 (+0.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$8.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.92 – HK$10.14 · fair‑value band HK$8.30 – HK$14.40 · the HK$6.87 price screens below the HK$11.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co (1157) currently trades at HK$6.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.25, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co generated revenue of HK$52.9B at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at HK$11.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$8.30 (bear case) to HK$14.40 (bull case); at HK$6.87, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 64%, 1157 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$13.26) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and manufactures machinery in China and internationally.
Full company description
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and manufactures machinery in China and internationally. The company offers mini, small, medium, large, and wheel excavators, as well as skid steer, crawler, wheel, and compact track loaders, and crawler bulldozers; spider, full-electric scissor, crawl scissor, rough terrain scissor, diesel and electric articulating boom, range-extended hybrid articulating and telescopic boom, diesel and electric telescopic boom, and vertical mast lifts, as well as telehandlers; and truck, loader, crawler, rough and all terrain, and telescopic crawler cranes. It also provides flat-top tower, luffing jib tower, and topless hydraulic luffing jib cranes, as well as construction hoist; truck mounted, trailer, and city pumps, as well as truck mixer, placing boom, and batching plant; tractor, baler, dryer, and combine and sugarcane harvesters; internal combustion and electric forklifts; and rotary and horizontal directional drilling rigs, underground diaphragm wall hydraulic grab, trench cutter, oscillator, and rotary casing boring and hydraulic plie pressing machines. In addition, the company offers surface DTH drill rig, mining dump truck, and mobile crushing/mesh substation; and aerial ladder and platform, water tower, CAFS, rescue, foam/water tank, lighting, special firefighting vehicles, as well as dry powder/nitrogen truck, firefighting robot and equipment, and specialized support, hazardous chemical accident, geological and meteorological disaster, water, all-terrain, and forest fire rescue equipment. Further, it provides inspection, client training, and machine services. The company was formerly known as Changsha Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Development Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. in October 2011. Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Changsha, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co reported revenue of HK$52.1B in FY2025 versus HK$67.1B in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.9B in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Zoomlion DV3504 Hybrid Tractor Shortlisted for Two Categories of TOTY 2027, Marking a Breakthrough for Chinese High-Horsepower Agricultural
- Repeat Orders Drive Zoomlion's International Concrete Machinery Growth
- Zoomlion Strengthens Global Customer Support During Challenging Summer Conditions
- Zoomlion Expands European Service Network with Professional Training and 4-Hour On-Site Support
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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