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BlueFocus Communication Group (300058) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 49.6B CNY (≈ $7.4B) · ISIN CNE100000LV8

What is BlueFocus Communication Group really worth?

BC BlueFocus Communication Group 300058 · SHE
Price¥13.97
Fair Value¥1.22
Upside−91.2%
Quality45/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 1,042% above our fair value of ¥1.22.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 13 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 1 out of 100

For context

·0.07% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.22 – ¥1.46

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −11.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.38 ¥3.13 Fair Value ¥1.22 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.13 – ¥23.38 · fair‑value band ¥1.22 – ¥1.46 · the ¥13.97 price screens above the ¥1.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

BlueFocus Communication Group (300058) currently trades at ¥13.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 1,041.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥6.34 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥13.97 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.3400, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, BlueFocus Communication Group generated revenue of 73.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 31.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.22 (bear case) to ¥1.46 (bull case); at ¥13.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −91%, 300058 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0408 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.3400 to ¥6.34). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥4.13 ¥5.82 ¥11.19 77
Growth DCF ¥3.96 ¥6.34 ¥11.15 76
Residual Income ¥1.59 ¥1.53 ¥1.28 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.13 ¥5.82 ¥11.19 77
Owner Earnings ¥2.52 ¥4.21 ¥7.76 73
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.79 ¥3.74 ¥5.72 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.88 ¥3.93 ¥5.98 75
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.78 ¥4.30 ¥6.29 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.16 ¥5.02 ¥6.05 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.28 ¥5.23 ¥8.43 67
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.20 ¥5.00 ¥7.78 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.4300 ¥2.97 ¥4.16 63
Lynch FV ¥1.27 ¥1.81 ¥2.35 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.27 ¥1.81 ¥2.35 57
EPV ¥2.11 ¥2.27 ¥2.40 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2000 ¥0.4100 ¥0.6400 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2000 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4300 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.03 ¥1.38 ¥1.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.8000 ¥1.06 ¥1.33 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.48 ¥2.91 ¥3.34 66
EV/EBITDA ¥2.37 ¥2.76 ¥3.15 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.17 ¥2.59 ¥3.01 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.10 ¥1.47 ¥2.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.96 ¥6.34 ¥11.15 76
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.59 ¥1.53 ¥1.28 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.11 ¥2.37 ¥2.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.59 ¥2.28 ¥2.96 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥6.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 199.6
P/S ratio 0.65 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 199.6
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 14.3%
Net margin 0.3% FY2025
Return on equity 3.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 0.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 73.2B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.9% 3y avg +23.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 627M CNY FY2025
Net cash 2.3B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. operates as a marketing technology company in China and internationally. It offers overseas marketing services, such as global localization services, integrated marketing creative, digital media placement in channels, overseas media PR, full-cycle game driver, and global influencer and affiliate marketing.

Full company description

BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. operates as a marketing technology company in China and internationally. It offers overseas marketing services, such as global localization services, integrated marketing creative, digital media placement in channels, overseas media PR, full-cycle game driver, and global influencer and affiliate marketing. The company also provides digital advertising, including advertisement launches and placement, media agency, creative production, and effect optimization; and digital marketing services comprising content creative, event management, CRM service, and sales promotion solution. In addition, it offers metaverse strategy planning, virtual production execution, and long-term operation services, as well as implementation of technologies and application scenarios. Further, the company develops human IPs under the Su Xiaomei and K brand name; a digital collection platform under the MEME name; Uniblue, a virtual marketing space; and LiveSmart Studio, AI Beings Clone, and NFT-as-a-Service. It serves automotive, consumer goods, hi-tech, internet and gaming, and financial and other industries. The company was formerly known as BlueFocus Communication Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. in June 2018. BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BlueFocus Communication Group reported revenue of 68.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 40.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was 225M CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
68.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−26.5% (−26.6 + 0.1)
Revenue +14.4%/yr
FY21 40.1B CNY
FY22 36.7B CNY
FY23 52.6B CNY
FY24 60.8B CNY
FY25 68.7B CNY
Net income −19.0%/yr
FY21 522M CNY
FY22 −2.2B CNY
FY23 117M CNY
FY24 −291M CNY
FY25 225M CNY

300058 screens 1,042% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BlueFocus Communication Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300058

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 195 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 199.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE100 · sector 6
PAST13 · sector 6
HEALTH97 · sector 99
DIVIDEND1 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is BlueFocus Communication Group (300058) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.22 versus a price of ¥13.97, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300058?
Our model-based fair value for BlueFocus Communication Group is ¥1.22 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.97.
What is the quality score of 300058?
BlueFocus Communication Group has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BlueFocus Communication Group (300058)?
BlueFocus Communication Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300058?
The net profit margin of BlueFocus Communication Group is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BlueFocus Communication Group pay a dividend?
BlueFocus Communication Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.07% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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