Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 9.3B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 11.21 SAR to 20.37 SAR (+81.7%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price −11.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.21 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (13.21 SAR to 29.78 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.73 SAR – 46.22 SAR · fair‑value band 13.21 SAR – 29.78 SAR · the 12.73 SAR price screens below the 20.37 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sahara International Petrochemical Company (2310) currently trades at 12.73 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 20.37 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sahara International Petrochemical Company generated revenue of 5.0B SAR at a net margin of -33.7%. Revenue declined 54.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.21 SAR (bear case) to 29.78 SAR (bull case); at 12.73 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2310 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (14.01 SAR) versus Multiples (5.00 SAR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sahara International Petrochemical Company owns, establishes, operates, and manages industrial projects related to chemical and petrochemical industries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Basic Chemicals, Intermediate Chemicals, Polymers, Marketing, and Corporate and Others segments.
Full company description
Sahara International Petrochemical Company owns, establishes, operates, and manages industrial projects related to chemical and petrochemical industries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Basic Chemicals, Intermediate Chemicals, Polymers, Marketing, and Corporate and Others segments. It offers basic products, including methanol, butane, and carbon monoxide; and intermediate products, such as acetic acid, vinyl acetate monomer, ethyl acetate, butyl acetate, and utilities. The company also provides polymer products consisting of low-density polyethylene, polyvinyl acetate, polyvinyl alcohol, polybutylene terephthalate, polypropylene, and electrical connecting wire products; acetic anhydride, butanediol, caustic soda, ethylene dichloride, gamma butyrolactone, methanol, and tetrahydrofuran products. In addition, the company manufactures and sells molds, and related services; and engages in the manufacture of metal equipment and spare parts. Further, it produces ethylene-vinyl acetate films and industrial utility services. The company was formerly known as Saudi International Petrochemical Company and changed its name to Sahara International Petrochemical Company in May 2019. Sahara International Petrochemical Company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sahara International Petrochemical Company reported revenue of 6.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 9.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound −8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −861M SAR in FY2025.
of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Chemicals · 332 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 467.04 MXN | -55% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,950 IDR | 1,608 IDR | -18% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 275,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +113% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 38.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -53% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,709 | ₹791.05 | -83% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,357 | ₹2,146 | -74% |
| Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 | ₹209.25 | ₹80.51 | -62% |
| Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR | ₹1,718 | ₹679.17 | -60% |
| KCC Corporation 002380 | 454,000 KRW | 1,763,304 KRW | +288% |
| Deepak Fertilisers And Petrochemicals Corporation DEEPAKFERT | ₹1,456 | ₹990.72 | -32% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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