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Meitu, Inc (1357) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$18.0B

MI Meitu, Inc 1357 · HK
PriceHK$4.50
Fair ValueHK$2.50
Upside-44.4%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.27% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.91 – HK$3.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.48 to HK$2.50 (+0.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +9.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$11.90 HK$0.6164 Fair Value HK$2.50 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6164 – HK$11.90 · fair‑value band HK$1.91 – HK$3.01 · the HK$4.50 price screens above the HK$2.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Meitu, Inc (1357) currently trades at HK$4.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.50, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Meitu, Inc generated revenue of HK$3.9B at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 12.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.91 (bear case) to HK$3.01 (bull case); at HK$4.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -44%, 1357 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$4.98 HK$8.62 HK$15.97 80
Residual Income HK$1.11 HK$1.24 HK$2.11 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.54 HK$3.66 HK$5.78 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$5.25 HK$7.83 HK$16.04 38
Owner Earnings HK$2.90 HK$5.63 HK$11.38 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.52 HK$3.29 HK$4.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.91 HK$4.09 HK$6.37 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$4.02 HK$7.68 HK$12.61 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.31 HK$5.16 HK$5.95 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.63 HK$6.01 HK$9.79 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.44 HK$8.40 HK$14.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8800 HK$6.11 HK$8.58 54
Lynch FV HK$2.36 HK$3.38 HK$4.39 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.36 HK$3.38 HK$4.39 46
EPV HK$1.10 HK$1.15 HK$1.21 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$2.71 HK$3.61 HK$4.51 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.64 HK$2.19 HK$2.74 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.64 HK$2.19 HK$2.74 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.06 HK$2.50 HK$2.94 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.99 HK$2.40 HK$2.81 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.41 HK$1.70 HK$1.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6300 HK$0.8400 HK$1.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.98 HK$8.62 HK$15.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.54 HK$3.66 HK$5.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.11 HK$1.24 HK$2.11 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.10 HK$1.15 HK$1.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.38 HK$4.83 HK$6.28 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$5.63) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.3%
Net margin 15.1%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow HK$1.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 28.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 8.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.9%
Net cash HK$2.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 16
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Meitu, Inc., an investment holding company, engages in the development and provision of products that streamline the production of photo, video, and design with other AI-powered products in Mainland China and internationally.

Full company description

Meitu, Inc., an investment holding company, engages in the development and provision of products that streamline the production of photo, video, and design with other AI-powered products in Mainland China and internationally. Its product portfolio includes Meitu app, Wink, DesignKit, BeautyCam, Kaipai, WHEE, and MOKI; ecosystem products, such as ZCOOL, RoboNeo, and MiracleVision. In addition, it is involved in the provision of online advertising and other IVAS by offering a portfolio of photo and community apps, as well as information technology services; smart hardware business; and solutions for beauty industry. Meitu, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Meitu, Inc reported revenue of HK$3.9B in FY2025 versus HK$1.7B in FY2021, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$583M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.9B
Latest YoY
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.4%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.3%
Revenue +23.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.7B
FY22 HK$2.1B
FY23 HK$2.7B
FY24 HK$3.3B
FY25 HK$3.9B
Net income
FY21 −HK$44.5M
FY22 HK$94.1M
FY23 HK$378M
FY24 HK$805M
FY25 HK$583M

1357 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Meitu, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1357

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 40.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 62 · sector 31
PAST 52 · sector 10
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 45 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $343.54 $145.14 -58%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $578.85 $534.91 -8%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$461.60 HK$448.17 -3%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $489.60 $210.99 -57%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $153.45 $39.59 -74%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $104.84 $66.96 -36%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$41.54 HK$84.61 +104%
NAVER Corporation 035420 215,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +7%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$33.72 HK$66.60 +98%
Kakao Corp 035720 40,100 KRW 24,536 KRW -39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Meitu, Inc (1357) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.50 versus a price of HK$4.50, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1357?
Our model-based fair value for Meitu, Inc is HK$2.50 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.50.
What is the quality score of 1357?
Meitu, Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Meitu, Inc (1357)?
Meitu, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1357?
The net profit margin of Meitu, Inc is about 15.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Meitu, Inc pay a dividend?
Meitu, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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