Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5T · ISIN US02079K3059
What is Alphabet Inc Class A really worth?
Alphabet Inc Class A
GOOGL · US
A solid business, but trading 136% above our fair value of $145.14.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −9.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide ($105.06 to $372.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $82.70 – $402.38 · fair‑value band $105.06 – $372.92 · the $342.48 price screens above the $145.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) currently trades at $342.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $145.14, implying the stock looks roughly 136.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $343.27 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the $342.48 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.75, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alphabet Inc Class A generated revenue of $422B at a net margin of 37.9%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.9%. Net debt stands at $28.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $105.06 (bear case) to $372.92 (bull case); at $342.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −58%, GOOGL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.32 per share, which is 5.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($343.27) versus Dividend Discount ($14.13). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments.
Full company description
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alphabet Inc Class A reported revenue of $403B in FY2025 versus $258B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $132B in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +18.4 % · buybacks/dilution +1.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GOOGL screens 136% overvalued. Compare with Meta Platforms, Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $571.10 | $534.91 | −6% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$455.20 | HK$449.03 | −1% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $547.51 | $211.87 | −61% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $153.29 | $39.59 | −74% |
| Baidu, Inc 89888 | HK$79.10 | HK$28.84 | −64% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 | HK$34.50 | HK$63.28 | +83% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 213,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +8% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| REA Group REA | A$177.42 | A$88.53 | −50% |
| Pinterest, Inc PINS | $23.19 | $14.38 | −38% |
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