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Kuaishou Technology (1024) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$190B (≈ $24.2B) · ISIN KYG532631028

What is Kuaishou Technology really worth?

KT Kuaishou Technology 1024 · HK
PriceHK$33.66
Fair ValueHK$84.61
Upside+151.4%
Quality54/100

A solid business, trading 60% below our fair value of HK$84.61.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Moderate moat 59/100
!The models disagree: range HK$55.91 to HK$199.67
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100

For context

·1.84% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$55.91 – HK$199.67

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$101.03 to HK$84.61 (−16.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −26.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$55.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$55.91 to HK$199.67). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$268.01 HK$31.55 Fair Value HK$84.61 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$31.55 – HK$268.01 · fair‑value band HK$55.91 – HK$199.67 · the HK$33.66 price screens below the HK$84.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kuaishou Technology (1024) currently trades at HK$33.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$84.61, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$158.56 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$33.66 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$14.54, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kuaishou Technology generated revenue of HK$144B at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.7%. Net debt stands at HK$11.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$55.91 (bear case) to HK$199.67 (bull case); at HK$33.66, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 151%, 1024 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$2.58 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$57.24 HK$90.01 HK$194.37 75
EPV HK$48.34 HK$56.38 HK$63.41 74
Growth DCF HK$53.84 HK$100.07 HK$193.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$57.24 HK$90.01 HK$194.37 75
Owner Earnings HK$47.49 HK$107.95 HK$234.88 70
5Y Revenue Exit HK$56.10 HK$102.33 HK$197.12 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$65.70 HK$122.16 HK$230.50 71
5Y P/E Exit HK$77.46 HK$176.15 HK$309.40 67
10Y Revenue Exit HK$54.51 HK$123.68 HK$180.60 65
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$63.69 HK$143.53 HK$293.63 63
10Y P/E Exit HK$72.18 HK$167.86 HK$338.48 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$34.53 HK$240.79 HK$337.92 63
Lynch FV HK$83.38 HK$119.12 HK$154.86 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$83.38 HK$119.12 HK$154.86 57
EPV HK$48.34 HK$56.38 HK$63.41 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$4.39 HK$9.13 HK$14.48 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.39 HK$7.70 HK$9.58 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$83.78 HK$111.71 HK$139.63 63
P/S Multiple HK$64.74 HK$86.32 HK$107.90 58
P/B Multiple HK$56.98 HK$75.98 HK$94.97 55
EV/EBIT HK$67.63 HK$90.15 HK$112.66 66
EV/EBITDA HK$67.95 HK$90.57 HK$113.19 67
EV/Revenue HK$51.31 HK$73.26 HK$95.21 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.85 HK$14.54 HK$21.71 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$53.84 HK$100.07 HK$193.51 74
Rev-Margin DCF HK$56.10 HK$116.98 HK$215.82 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$35.67 HK$51.14 HK$355.99 64
ROIC Compounder HK$62.33 HK$93.29 HK$130.14 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$110.99 HK$158.56 HK$206.13 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$158.56) versus Dividend Discount (HK$7.70). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 9.0 as of Jul 16, 2026
P/S ratio 1.17 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$4.42 price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 14.0%
Net margin 13.0% FY2025
Return on equity 23.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$144B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4% 3y avg +14.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −27.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$12.4B FY2025
Net debt HK$11.6B FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 18
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, provides live streaming, online marketing, and other services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, provides live streaming, online marketing, and other services in the People's Republic of China. It offers Kuaishou Flagship, a short video and content based social networking platform; Kuaishou Express; Kuaishou Concept; Yitian Camera, an app to create features Japanese-and-Korean-style filters and cute stickers; Kmovie, a shooting, editing, and production tool; and AcFun, a video sharing website. The company also provides entertainment, e-commerce, online games, online knowledge-sharing, and others. In addition, it engages in developing software, hardware, and network technology; investment activities; and providing programming and advertising, internet information, technology development, promotion, and other services. Kuaishou Technology was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kuaishou Technology reported revenue of 143B CNY in FY2025 versus 81.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was 18.6B CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$143B
Latest YoY
+12.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+42.6%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+45.0% (43.2 + 1.8)
Revenue +15.2%/yr
FY21 81.1B CNY
FY22 94.2B CNY
FY23 113B CNY
FY24 127B CNY
FY25 143B CNY
Net income
FY21 −78.1B CNY
FY22 −13.7B CNY
FY23 6.4B CNY
FY24 15.3B CNY
FY25 18.6B CNY

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Kuaishou Technology · Fair Value
HK$84.61 +60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuaishou Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1024

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +151% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.38× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.60× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE17 · sector 31
PAST95 · sector 9
HEALTH93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND37 · sector 36

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Alphabet Inc GOOGL $340.65 $145.14 −57%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $571.10 $534.91 −6%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$455.20 HK$449.03 −1%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $547.51 $211.87 −61%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $153.29 $39.59 −74%
Baidu, Inc 89888 HK$79.10 HK$28.84 −64%
NAVER Corporation 035420 213,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +8%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$35.14 HK$66.77 +90%
REA Group REA A$177.42 A$88.53 −50%
Pinterest, Inc PINS $23.19 $14.38 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kuaishou Technology (1024) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$84.61 versus a price of HK$33.66, about +151% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1024?
Our model-based fair value for Kuaishou Technology is HK$84.61 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$33.66.
What is the quality score of 1024?
Kuaishou Technology has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kuaishou Technology (1024)?
Kuaishou Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$144B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1024?
The net profit margin of Kuaishou Technology is about 12.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kuaishou Technology pay a dividend?
Kuaishou Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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