Meta Platforms Inc. (META) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $1.7T · ISIN US30303M1027
What is Meta Platforms Inc. really worth?
Meta Platforms Inc.
META · US
A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of $534.91.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +3.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($384.86 to $1,391). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $88.14 – $787.42 · fair‑value band $384.86 – $1,391 · the $610.68 price screens above the $534.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Meta Platforms Inc. (META) currently trades at $610.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $534.91, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1,177 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $610.68 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $66.28, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Meta Platforms Inc. generated revenue of $215B at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue grew 33.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.9%. Net debt stands at $48.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $384.86 (bear case) to $1,391 (bull case); at $610.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −12%, META screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $17.18 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1,177) versus Dividend Discount ($41.70). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Full company description
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Meta Platforms Inc. reported revenue of $201B in FY2025 versus $118B in FY2021, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was $60.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +27.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
META screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 153 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $340.65 | $145.14 | −57% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$455.20 | HK$449.03 | −1% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $547.51 | $211.87 | −61% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $153.29 | $39.59 | −74% |
| Baidu, Inc 89888 | HK$79.10 | HK$28.84 | −64% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 81024 | HK$34.50 | HK$63.28 | +83% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 213,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +8% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| REA Group REA | A$177.42 | A$88.53 | −50% |
| Pinterest, Inc PINS | $23.19 | $14.38 | −38% |
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