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Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd (002759) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE100002037

What is Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd really worth?

GT Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd 002759 · SHE
Price¥15.96
Fair Value¥4.18
Upside−73.8%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 282% above our fair value of ¥4.18.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +31.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.70 – ¥4.51

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +5.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥51.25 ¥5.54 Fair Value ¥4.18 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.54 – ¥51.25 · fair‑value band ¥2.70 – ¥4.51 · the ¥15.96 price screens above the ¥4.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd (002759) currently trades at ¥15.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.18, implying the stock looks roughly 281.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥4.49 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥15.96 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.8600, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 91.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Net debt stands at 428M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.70 (bear case) to ¥4.51 (bull case); at ¥15.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −74%, 002759 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3993 per share, which is 9.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ¥4.68 ¥4.49 ¥3.67 76
EPV ¥4.09 ¥4.63 ¥5.11 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.09 ¥4.63 ¥5.11 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.11 ¥6.96 ¥9.71 63
Lynch FV ¥2.00 ¥2.86 ¥3.72 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.00 ¥2.86 ¥3.72 57
EPV ¥4.09 ¥4.63 ¥5.11 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.4900 ¥1.02 ¥1.61 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.4900 ¥0.8600 ¥1.07 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.70 ¥3.61 ¥4.51 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.09 ¥2.79 ¥3.48 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.09 ¥2.79 ¥3.48 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.97 ¥7.69 ¥9.41 66
EV/EBITDA ¥8.16 ¥10.61 ¥13.06 67
EV/Revenue ¥4.29 ¥5.78 ¥7.27 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.28 ¥4.39 ¥6.56 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ¥4.68 ¥4.49 ¥3.67 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.09 ¥4.63 ¥5.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.92 ¥4.18 ¥5.43 67

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥4.49) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 27.1
P/S ratio 0.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5900 price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.1
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 5.1%
Net margin 2.8% FY2025
Return on equity 11.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 30.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 3.4B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +91.1% 3y avg −3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −94.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −652M CNY FY2025
Net debt 428M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Tonze New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of lithium hexafluorophosphate and related fluorochemical products in China. It operates through four segments: Management, Home Appliances & Related Products, Lithium-ion Battery Materials, and Phosphorus Chemicals.

Full company description

Tonze New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of lithium hexafluorophosphate and related fluorochemical products in China. It operates through four segments: Management, Home Appliances & Related Products, Lithium-ion Battery Materials, and Phosphorus Chemicals. The company also offers sodium fluoroaluminate, potassium fluoroborate, potassium fluorotitanate, potassium fluorozirconate, hydrochloric acid, and calcium chloride. Tonze New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Guangdong Tonze Electric Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Shantou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 82.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −42.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+44.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−29.7% (−29.9 + 0.2)
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 2.3B CNY
FY22 3.3B CNY
FY23 2.2B CNY
FY24 2.1B CNY
FY25 3.0B CNY
Net income −42.4%/yr
FY21 745M CNY
FY22 526M CNY
FY23 36.6M CNY
FY24 −1.4B CNY
FY25 82.2M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +10.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.9 %

of which total revenue +25.6 % · buybacks/dilution −8.5 %

EBIT margin −3.9 %
Tax rate −0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002759 screens 282% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002759

Peer Group

Chemicals · 339 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 91% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 22
PAST44 · sector 20
HEALTH96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND4 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 49.50 SAR 18.13 SAR −63%
A. Schulman, Inc SLMNP $849.00 $203.64 −76%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥24.49 ¥20.17 −18%
Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 −31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 −48%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.76 ¥2.39 −83%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR −15%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd (002759) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.18 versus a price of ¥15.96, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002759?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd is ¥4.18 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.96.
What is the quality score of 002759?
Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd (002759)?
Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002759?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Tonze Electric Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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