Weichai Power Co Ltd Class A (000338) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 239B CNY (≈ $35.7B) · ISIN CNE1000000D4
What is Weichai Power Co Ltd Class A really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥24.74.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −6.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.03 – ¥35.34 · fair‑value band ¥17.74 – ¥31.74 · the ¥26.85 price screens above the ¥24.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Weichai Power Co Ltd Class A (000338) currently trades at ¥26.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.74, implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥69.31 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥26.85 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥7.22, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Weichai Power Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 237B CNY at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at 28.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥17.74 (bear case) to ¥31.74 (bull case); at ¥26.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −8%, 000338 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3911 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥69.31) versus Asset-Based (¥7.22). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Weichai Power Co., Ltd. engages in the automobile and equipment manufacturing industry in China and internationally. The company operates through the Engines, Automobiles and Auto Parts, Agricultural Equipment, and Intelligent Logistics segments.
Full company description
Weichai Power Co., Ltd. engages in the automobile and equipment manufacturing industry in China and internationally. The company operates through the Engines, Automobiles and Auto Parts, Agricultural Equipment, and Intelligent Logistics segments. It offers engines for trucks, buses, construction machinery, and agricultural tractors and harvesters; energy and power solutions, including generator sets and industrial power products; transmission, PTO, and auto transmission products; axles for trucks, buses, and construction machineries; and hydraulics comprising variable displacement pumps, VT modular valves, electronic units, and excavator and agriculture machine powertrain systems. The company also provides new energy products, such as pure electric drive, pure electric gearbox power, electric drive axle power, hybrid power, power battery, and range-extender systems; commercial vehicles and auto parts; and after-market products, which include parts, oil, and remanufacture. In addition, it engages in forklift production, warehouse technology, and supply chain solution services, as well as industrial truck and services materials handling. The company offers its products under the Weichai Power Engine, Fast Gear Transmission, Hande Axle, Shaanxi Automobile Heavy Truck, and Weichai Lovol Smart Agriculture brands. Weichai Power Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Weifang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Weichai Power Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 232B CNY in FY2025 versus 220B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 10.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Weichai Power Launches World's First China VI-Compliant Heavy-Duty Hydrogen Engine, Setting a New Benchmark for Zero-Carbon Mobility
- Weichai Power Hong Kong International Development Co. Limited Announces Sale of Common Shares of Ballard Power Systems Inc.
- Ballard Announced Resignation Of Weichai's Nominee Directors and Sale Of Weichai's Shares
- Ballard Announces Resignation of Weichai's Nominee Directors and Sale of Weichai's Shares
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $191.84 | $247.83 | +29% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$76.90 | HK$48.59 | −37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €355.50 | €167.67 | −53% |
| General Motors Company GM | $86.27 | $52.69 | −39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $13.88 | $11.51 | −17% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €46.95 | €106.16 | +126% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.91 | €17.34 | −61% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹12,694 | ₹8,236 | −35% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW3 | €77.42 | €248.34 | +221% |
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