Xpeng vs Toyota Motor Corporation: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Xpeng (XPEV) and Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor Corporation as the more attractively valued of the two: Xpeng trades at $11.78 versus a fair value of $9.27 (-21%), while Toyota Motor Corporation trades at $189 versus $248 (+31%).
Xpeng
XPEV · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-21%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$11.78
Fair Value$9.27
Quality59/100
Toyota Motor Corporation
TM · USD · Consumer Discretionary
+31%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$189
Fair Value$248
Quality46/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
XpengToyota Motor Corporation
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)10.5×
0.16×P/S (TTM)—
0.39×P/B—
—PEG1.54×
—Dividend yield3.5%
—Dividend per share$95.00
Profitability
-3%Net margin8%
-15%Operating margin5%
-8%Return on equity10%
-2%Return on assets2%
Growth
-18%Revenue growth (YoY)2%
40.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.9%
66.4%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)13.2%
Balance & size
0.22×Debt / equity0.64×
$12BMarket cap$213B
mixedGrowth qualityexpensive
Toyota Motor Corporation leads: 3 to 5 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Xpengof which business quality 57 · market factors 12Toyota Motor Corporationof which business quality 45 · market factors 47
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
20
33
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
99
29
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
74
43
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
33
87
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
6
30
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
0
32
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
92
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Xpeng
DCF Models$180
Multiples$95.24
Asset-Based$26.04
Growth DCF$185
0 of 7 models see the stock below the current price.
Toyota Motor Corporation
DCF Models$248
Earnings-Based$168
Multiples$434
Asset-Based$189
Growth DCF$206
Economic Profit$200
Growth Earnings$534
6 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Xpeng
Bear $5.64Fair Value $9.27Bull $12.91
$11.78 = current price (white tick)
Toyota Motor Corporation
Bear $196Fair Value $248Bull $429
$189 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Xpeng · Consumer Discretionary
Quality score59 · above median
Fair value upside-21% · below median
Toyota Motor Corporation · Consumer Discretionary
Quality score46 · below median
Fair value upside+31% · above median
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Toyota Motor Corporation as the more attractively valued of the two: Xpeng trades at $11.78 versus a fair value of $9.27 (-21%), while Toyota Motor Corporation trades at $189 versus $248 (+31%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
