Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and RIO (RIO) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees RIO as the more attractively valued of the two: BHP Group trades at $87.23 versus a fair value of $59.50 (-32%), while RIO trades at $98.20 versus $105 (+7%).
BHP Group
BHP · USD · Materials
-32%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$87.23
Fair Value$59.50
Quality63/100
RIO
RIO · USD · Materials
+7%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$98.20
Fair Value$105
Quality54/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
BHP GroupRIO
Valuation
21.2×P/E (TTM)14.9×
3.80×P/S (TTM)2.56×
4.30×P/B2.37×
8.1×EV/EBITDA7.9×
5.95×PEG5.69×
1.6%Dividend yield4.5%
$1.33Dividend per share$4.02
Profitability
19%Net margin17%
41%Operating margin25%
25%Return on equity16%
12%Return on assets8%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)15%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)1.3%
5.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.3%
Balance & size
0.42×Debt / equity0.34×
$205BMarket cap$147B
expensiveGrowth qualityexpensive
RIO leads: 5 to 9 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
BHP Groupof which business quality 65 · market factors 74RIOof which business quality 54 · market factors 71
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
60
47
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
29
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
62
38
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
67
78
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
69
58
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
93
88
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
79
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
BHP Group
DCF Models$57.46
Earnings-Based$53.49
Dividend Discount$42.04
Multiples$58.33
Asset-Based$12.57
Growth DCF$47.57
Economic Profit$44.15
Growth Earnings$50.63
22 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
RIO
DCF Models$75.26
Earnings-Based$64.24
Dividend Discount$82.01
Multiples$135
Asset-Based$33.22
Growth DCF$56.42
Economic Profit$82.36
Growth Earnings$117
16 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
BHP Group
Bear $37.50Fair Value $59.50Bull $75.44
$87.23 = current price (white tick)
RIO
Bear $54.31Fair Value $105Bull $163
$98.20 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
BHP Group · Materials
Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-32% · below median
RIO · Materials
Quality score54 · above median
Fair value upside+7% · above median
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees RIO as the more attractively valued of the two: BHP Group trades at $87.23 versus a fair value of $59.50 (-32%), while RIO trades at $98.20 versus $105 (+7%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
