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STOCK COMPARISON

Chongqing Water Group Co vs American Water Works: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Chongqing Water Group Co (601158) and American Water Works (AWK) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Chongqing Water Group Co as the less overvalued of the two: Chongqing Water Group Co trades at ¥4.12 versus a fair value of ¥2.77 (-33%), while American Water Works trades at $141 versus $65.80 (-53%).
Chongqing Water Group Co
601158.SHG · CNY · Utilities
-33%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price¥4.12
Fair Value¥2.77
Quality53/100
American Water Works
AWK · USD · Utilities
-53%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$141
Fair Value$65.80
Quality41/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Chongqing Water Group CoAmerican Water Works
Valuation
27.5×P/E (TTM)22.9×
2.63×P/S (TTM)5.04×
1.15×P/B2.42×
8.8×EV/EBITDA13.7×
—PEG2.51×
−32.8%Fair value upside−53.3%
3.1%Dividend yield2.3%
¥0.13Dividend per share$3.31
Profitability
19%Operating margin33%
0.46×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.11×
5%Return on equity10%
2%Return on assets4%
Growth
1%Revenue growth (YoY)6%
-1.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.7%
3.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.4%
−11.4%Value creation/yr+11.3%
Balance & size
3.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)3.1×
0.59×Debt / equity1.18×
$3BMarket cap$26B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Chongqing Water Group Coof which business quality 51 · market factors 50 American Water Worksof which business quality 38 · market factors 63
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
25
36
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
47
33
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
55
48
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
38
18
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
67
31
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
100
88
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
31
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
24
60
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
92
70

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyChongqing Water Group CoPrice ¥4.12American Water WorksPrice $141
DCF Models-66%below the price¥1.42n/a
Earnings-Based-67%below the price¥1.36-78%below the price$30.84
Dividend Discountn/a-61%below the price$54.41
Multiples-31%below the price¥2.86-44%below the price$78.34
Asset-Based-42%below the price¥2.39-74%below the price$37.18
Growth DCF-79%below the price¥0.87n/a
Economic Profit-62%below the price¥1.58-72%below the price$39.66
Growth Earnings-42%below the price¥2.39-37%below the price$88.71
Minimum-79%below the price¥0.87-78%below the price$30.84
Maximum-31%below the price¥2.86-37%below the price$88.71
Median-62%below the price¥1.58-67%below the price$47.03
Geometric mean-58%below the price¥1.71-64%below the price$50.80

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Chongqing Water Group Co: 21 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

American Water Works: 16 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Chongqing Water Group Co
Bear ¥2.15Fair Value ¥2.77Bull ¥2.91
¥4.12 = current price (white tick)
American Water Works
Bear $49.35Fair Value $65.80Bull $99.51
$141 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Chongqing Water Group Co · Utilities

Quality score53 · above median
Fair value upside-33% · below median

American Water Works · Utilities

Quality score41 · below median
Fair value upside-53% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Chongqing Water Group Co as the less overvalued of the two: Chongqing Water Group Co trades at ¥4.12 versus a fair value of ¥2.77 (-33%), while American Water Works trades at $141 versus $65.80 (-53%).

Chongqing Water Group Co has the higher quality score (53/100).

See the full analysis →
Chongqing Water Group Co · American Water Works

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.