Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guoco Group (0053) and Itochu (ITOCHU19) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Itochu as the more attractively valued of the two: Guoco Group trades at HK$71.00 versus a fair value of HK$32.77 (-54%), while Itochu trades at THB 7.20 versus THB 14.40 (+100%).
Guoco Group
0053.HK · HKD · Industrials
-54%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$71.00
Fair ValueHK$32.77
Quality65/100
Itochu
ITOCHU19.BK · THB · Industrials
+100%
upside to fair value
undervalued
PriceTHB 7.20
Fair ValueTHB 14.40
Quality55/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Guoco GroupItochu
Valuation
5.1×P/E (TTM)16.0×
0.94×P/S (TTM)0.96×
0.32×P/B2.20×
7.5×EV/EBITDA18.1×
1.17×PEG2.46×
0.7%Dividend yield—
HK$0.46Dividend per share—
Profitability
18%Net margin6%
10%Operating margin5%
5%Return on equity14%
1%Return on assets3%
Growth
-7%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
17.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)2.1%
10.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)—
Balance & size
0.42×Debt / equity0.44×
$3BMarket cap$91B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
Guoco Group leads: 9 to 3 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Guoco Groupof which business quality 64 · market factors 58Itochuof which business quality 53 · market factors 59
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
29
44
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
36
32
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
97
68
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
100
83
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
40
43
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
43
59
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
95
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Guoco Group
DCF ModelsHK$103
Earnings-BasedHK$29.91
Dividend DiscountHK$57.46
MultiplesHK$29.65
Asset-BasedHK$17.82
Growth DCFHK$327
Economic ProfitHK$21.95
8 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.
Itochu
DCF ModelsTHB 32.07
Earnings-BasedTHB 24.60
MultiplesTHB 40.79
Asset-BasedTHB 10.53
Growth DCFTHB 21.65
Economic ProfitTHB 19.72
0 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Guoco Group
Bear HK$24.58Fair Value HK$32.77Bull HK$40.96
HK$71.00 = current price (white tick)
Itochu
Bear THB 9.14Fair Value THB 14.40Bull THB 21.81
THB 7.20 = current price (white tick)
Compare two other stocks
Tap a field and type again, ticker or company name.
Free, no sign-up
Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Guoco Group · Industrials
Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-54% · below median
Itochu · Industrials
Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside+100% · Top 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Itochu as the more attractively valued of the two: Guoco Group trades at HK$71.00 versus a fair value of HK$32.77 (-54%), while Itochu trades at THB 7.20 versus THB 14.40 (+100%).
Guoco Group has the higher quality score (65/100).
Just your email for the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks, with fair value, quality and price target. Plus 14 days of Pro to try, no card.
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click. Not financial advice.
A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
