Guoco Group vs Itochu: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guoco Group (0053) and Itochu (ITOCHU19) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Guoco Group leads: 9 to 5 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Guoco GroupPrice HK$72.00 | ItochuPrice THB 7.85 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ▲+44%above the priceHK$103 | ▲+309%above the priceTHB 32.07 |
| Earnings-Based | ▼-58%below the priceHK$29.91 | ▲+213%above the priceTHB 24.60 |
| Dividend Discount | ▼-20%below the priceHK$57.46 | n/a |
| Multiples | ▼-59%below the priceHK$29.65 | ▲+420%above the priceTHB 40.79 |
| Asset-Based | ▼-75%below the priceHK$17.82 | ▲+34%above the priceTHB 10.53 |
| Growth DCF | ▲+354%above the priceHK$327 | ▲+176%above the priceTHB 21.65 |
| Economic Profit | ▼-70%below the priceHK$21.95 | ▲+151%above the priceTHB 19.72 |
| Minimum | ▼-75%below the priceHK$17.82 | ▲+34%above the priceTHB 10.53 |
| Maximum | ▲+354%above the priceHK$327 | ▲+420%above the priceTHB 40.79 |
| Median | ▼-58%below the priceHK$29.91 | ▲+195%above the priceTHB 23.12 |
| Geometric mean | ▼-32%below the priceHK$48.95 | ▲+192%above the priceTHB 22.91 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Guoco Group: 8 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.
Itochu: 0 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Compare two other stocks
Tap a field and type again, ticker or company name.
Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Guoco Group · Industrials
Itochu · Industrials
Bottom line
As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Itochu as the more attractively valued of the two: Guoco Group trades at HK$72.00 versus a fair value of HK$32.77 (-54%), while Itochu trades at THB 7.85 versus THB 14.40 (+83%).
Guoco Group has the higher quality score (65/100).
See the full analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.