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Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $12.7B · ISIN US9892071054

What is Zebra Technologies Corporation really worth?

ZT Zebra Technologies Corporation logo Zebra Technologies Corporation ZBRA · US
Price$357.50
Fair Value$246.30
Upside−31.1%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 45% above our fair value of $246.30.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $134.24 – $307.87

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $175.93 to $246.30 (+40.0%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($307.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($134.24 to $307.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$614.55 $197.99 Fair Value $246.30 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $197.99 – $614.55 · fair‑value band $134.24 – $307.87 · the $357.50 price screens above the $246.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) currently trades at $357.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $246.30, implying the stock looks roughly 45.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $271.29 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $357.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $50.47, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zebra Technologies Corporation generated revenue of $5.6B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $134.24 (bear case) to $307.87 (bull case); at $357.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −31%, ZBRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.60 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $174.52 $346.66 $641.49 76
Growth DCF $173.57 $333.45 $601.17 75
EPV $84.82 $106.78 $125.99 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $174.52 $346.66 $641.49 76
Owner Earnings $91.10 $198.41 $382.19 72
5Y Revenue Exit $126.45 $244.75 $402.63 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $198.10 $390.76 $630.70 73
5Y P/E Exit $139.47 $271.29 $419.45 69
10Y Revenue Exit $135.74 $252.98 $427.20 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $188.19 $359.27 $615.99 66
10Y P/E Exit $149.49 $272.30 $441.13 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $59.82 $266.28 $364.77 64
Lynch FV $69.15 $98.78 $128.42 61
PEG = 1.0 $69.15 $98.78 $128.42 57
EPV $84.82 $106.78 $125.99 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $184.72 $246.30 $307.87 63
P/S Multiple $112.15 $149.54 $186.92 58
P/B Multiple $112.15 $149.54 $186.92 55
EV/EBIT $255.37 $356.14 $456.91 66
EV/EBITDA $232.22 $325.28 $418.33 67
EV/Revenue $105.89 $171.39 $236.89 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $37.66 $50.47 $75.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $173.57 $333.45 $601.17 75
Rev-Margin DCF $126.45 $243.06 $391.91 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $69.19 $81.14 $160.57 72
ROIC Compounder $89.44 $137.21 $198.96 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $134.24 $191.77 $249.30 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($271.29) versus Asset-Based ($50.47). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 42.9
P/S ratio 3.33 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $8.34 price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.9
Net margin 7.8% FY2025
Return on equity 11.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 15.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.3% 3y avg −2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $831M FY2025
Net debt $2.7B FY2025 · ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zebra Technologies Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automatic identification and data capture solutions industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Connected Frontline, and Asset Visibility and Automation.

Full company description

Zebra Technologies Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automatic identification and data capture solutions industry worldwide. It operates in two segments, Connected Frontline, and Asset Visibility and Automation. The company designs, manufactures, and sells printers that produce labels, wristbands, tickets, receipts, and plastic cards; dye-sublimination thermal card printers that produce images, which are used for personal identification, access control, and financial transactions; radio frequency identification device (RFID) printers that encode data into passive RFID transponders; accessories and options for printers, including carrying cases, vehicle mounts, and battery chargers; stock and customized thermal labels, receipts, ribbons, plastic cards, and RFID tags for printers; and electronic sensors and temperature-monitoring labels. It also provides various maintenance, technical support, repair, and managed and professional services; fixed readers, RFID enabled mobile computers, and RFID sleds; tags, sensors, exciters, middleware software, and application software; and physical inventory management solutions; rugged and enterprise-grade mobile computing products and accessories, as well as real-time location systems and services. In addition, the company offers barcode scanners and imagers, RFID readers, industrial machine vision cameras, and fixed industrial scanners; point-of-sale solutions, self-serve kiosks, and interactive touchscreen displays; workflow optimization solutions, such as workforce management, workflow execution and task management, and prescriptive analytics, and communications and collaboration solutions; and cloud-based software. The company serves retail and e-commerce, manufacturing, transportation and logistics, healthcare, public sector, and other industries through direct sales force and network of channel partners. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Lincolnshire, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zebra Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $419M in FY2025, compounding −15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.4B
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (35Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−3.9% (−3.9 + 0.0)
Revenue −1.0%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $5.8B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income −15.9%/yr
FY21 $837M
FY22 $463M
FY23 $296M
FY24 $528M
FY25 $419M

ZBRA screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zebra Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZBRA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.55× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE72 · sector 39
PAST47 · sector 15
HEALTH67 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $112.15 $61.53 −45%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.21 $3.78 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.13 $19.85 +96%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $246.30 versus a price of $357.50, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZBRA?
Our model-based fair value for Zebra Technologies Corporation is $246.30 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $357.50.
What is the quality score of ZBRA?
Zebra Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA)?
Zebra Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZBRA?
The net profit margin of Zebra Technologies Corporation is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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