Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd (300394) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd stock ¥74.24, price ¥197, upside -62.3%, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd
300394 · SHEStretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.47 – ¥353.77 · fair‑value band ¥34.53 – ¥93.09 · the ¥197.00 price screens above the ¥74.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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Company profile
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides optical sub-assembly integrated solutions and optoelectronic packaging manufacturing services in Mainland China and internationally.
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It operates through Optical Device Overall Solutions and Optoelectronic Advanced Packaging Business segments.
The company offers BOX packaging technology platform/high-speed optical engine solutions; coherent optics technology platform/FAU passive sub-assembly solutions; micro-optics technology platform and product solutions; parallel optics technology platform/AOC series passive optical components solutions; passive optical components solutions for PSM/DR applications; TO packaging technology platform/high speed coaxial sub-assembly solutions; and plastic lens and fiber array solutions for SR and OBO applications.
It also provides wavelength division multiplexing devices and passive module solutions; fiber optic connection solutions; WDM (AWG) alignment technology platform/MUX/De-MUX solutions; and solutions for LiDAR applications, as well as optoelectronic packaging manufacturing services for OEMs. The company's products are used in AI computing centers, data centers, optical fiber communication, and optical sensing applications.
In addition, it engages in the manufacture and sale of optoelectronic devices, electric subcomponents, high-precision molds and parts, optical lenses and filters, optical wavelength division devices, and electronic components; provision of information technology consulting, software development, Internet of Things technical, trading, investment, and technology services; design, production, import, and export of automotive parts, sensor equipment, and electronic equipment; and research, development, and technical consulting for biomedical equipment.
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd (300394) currently trades at ¥197.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥74.24, 62.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥93.46 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥197.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥8.11, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥34.53 (bear) to ¥93.09 (bull), the price of ¥197.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +49.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding +60.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 235B CNY (≈ $35.2B) Large · P/E ratio 87.9 · P/S ratio 42.4 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.24 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 42.0% · Return on equity 42.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 24.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 92 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −62%, 300394 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
300394 screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Compare Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 293 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $107.26 | $117.99 | +10% | vs 300394 |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $609.35 | $670.29 | +10% | vs 300394 |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 1,815 TWD | 1,997 TWD | +10% | vs 300394 |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥294.12 | ¥289.12 | −2% | vs 300394 |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $467.50 | $248.80 | −47% | vs 300394 |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥647.90 | ¥342.18 | −47% | vs 300394 |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $9.02 | $3.66 | −59% | vs 300394 |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥48.77 | ¥13.93 | −71% | vs 300394 |
| Ciena Corporation CIEN | $361.34 | $50.06 | −86% | vs 300394 |
| Lumentum Holdings LITE | $850.70 | $85.88 | −90% | vs 300394 |
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Key figures of Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co Ltd
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