Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $68.6B · ISIN US6200763075
What is Motorola Solutions Inc really worth?
Motorola Solutions Inc
MSI · US
A solid business, but trading 100% above our fair value of $236.33.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +6.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($361.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($145.49 to $361.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $188.20 – $495.19 · fair‑value band $145.49 – $361.69 · the $472.23 price screens above the $236.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Motorola Solutions Inc (MSI) currently trades at $472.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $236.33, implying the stock looks roughly 99.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $278.22 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $472.23 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $56.57, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Motorola Solutions Inc generated revenue of $11.9B at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 99.3%. Net debt stands at $8.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $145.49 (bear case) to $361.69 (bull case); at $472.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −54% fair-value upside, at −50%, MSI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.28 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($278.22) versus Asset-Based ($9.73). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Motorola Solutions, Inc. provides public safety, government, defense, and enterprise security solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services.
Full company description
Motorola Solutions, Inc. provides public safety, government, defense, and enterprise security solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment offers a portfolio of infrastructure, devices, accessories, and the implementation and integration of systems, devices, software, and applications for government, including defense, public safety, and enterprise customers who operate private communications systems and video security solutions, as well as manage a mobile workforce. This segment also provides mission critical networks, and video security and access control technologies, including two-way portable and vehicle-mounted radios, video cameras, and accessories; communications network core and central processing software, base stations, consoles, and repeaters; and video analytics, network video management hardware and software, and access control solutions. The Software and Services segment offers public safety and enterprise command center, unified communications applications, mobile video equipment, and video software solutions; repair, technical support, and maintenance services; and monitoring, software updates, and cybersecurity services to government, public safety, and commercial communications networks. It serves hospitality; manufacturing; military and defence; police; air transportation; fire and rescue; stadium; emergency medical services; mining; oil and gas; transportation and logistics; utilities; education; retail; and healthcare industries. The company was formerly known as Motorola, Inc. and changed its name to Motorola Solutions, Inc. in January 2011. Motorola Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1928 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Motorola Solutions Inc reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $8.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $2.2B in FY2025, compounding +14.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution +1.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MSI screens 100% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Motorola Solutions (MSI) Faces Near-Term Margin Pressure, but the Long-Term Thesis Holds
- Can Motorola's Advanced Security Solutions Make Future Events Safer?
- Motorola Completes D-Fend Buyout: Can It Buoy Growth Prospects?
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $112.15 | $61.53 | −45% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥866.12 | ¥171.09 | −80% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥61.83 | ¥28.65 | −54% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | −59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.21 | $3.78 | −63% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 | ¥400.03 | ¥201.38 | −50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥276.25 | ¥43.67 | −84% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $10.13 | $19.85 | +96% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | −50% |
| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $577.76 | $252.79 | −56% |
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