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Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $37.8B · ISIN US2948216088

What is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR really worth?

TL Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR logo Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR ERIC · US
Price$10.13
Fair Value$19.85
Upside+96.0%
Quality74/100

A solid business, trading 49% below our fair value of $19.85.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.5 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.56% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $13.90 – $30.90

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 5, 2026, revised from $19.89 to $19.85 (−0.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($13.90 to $30.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.74 $3.98 Fair Value $19.85 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.98 – $13.74 · fair‑value band $13.90 – $30.90 · the $10.13 price screens below the $19.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC) currently trades at $10.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.85, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $189.63 per share, and 23 of the 23 models we run sit above the $10.13 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $24.01, and 0 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR generated revenue of $240B at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue declined 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.0%. Net debt stands at $2.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.90 (bear case) to $30.90 (bull case); at $10.13, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −54% fair-value upside, at 96%, ERIC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.5232 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $102.14 $141.87 $197.24 81
Growth DCF $105.38 $142.99 $193.52 79
Owner Earnings $111.53 $155.09 $215.80 77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $102.14 $141.87 $197.24 81
Owner Earnings $111.53 $155.09 $215.80 77
5Y Revenue Exit $94.60 $137.69 $189.97 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $132.38 $203.74 $282.40 75
5Y P/E Exit $141.67 $219.97 $296.71 71
10Y Revenue Exit $94.01 $132.68 $178.90 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $120.05 $176.93 $245.22 68
10Y P/E Exit $125.81 $187.80 $255.49 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $59.45 $124.29 $157.26 66
PEG = 1.0 $18.48 $26.40 $34.32 57
EPV $72.54 $83.83 $93.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $183.60 $244.79 $305.99 63
P/S Multiple $111.47 $148.62 $185.78 58
P/B Multiple $111.47 $148.62 $185.78 55
EV/EBIT $185.88 $246.24 $306.59 66
EV/EBITDA $171.56 $227.13 $282.71 67
EV/Revenue $96.36 $135.59 $174.82 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.92 $24.01 $35.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $105.38 $142.99 $193.52 79
Rev-Margin DCF $94.60 $139.03 $185.53 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $57.64 $77.62 $402.68 64
ROIC Compounder $74.76 $89.52 $104.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $132.74 $189.63 $246.51 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($189.63) versus Asset-Based ($24.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.8 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 1.78 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 33.7%
Net margin 12.0% FY2025
Return on equity 27.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% avg 5y
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $240B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −10.3% 3y avg −6.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −78.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $28.5B FY2025
Net debt $2.1B FY2025 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile connectivity solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, and the public sector in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, Oceania, and India.

Full company description

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile connectivity solutions to communications service providers, enterprises, and the public sector in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, Oceania, and India. It operates through Networks; Cloud Software and Services; Enterprise; and Other segments. The Networks segment offers hardware, software, and service offerings for intelligent, reliable and flexible 5G networks. This segment also provides energy-efficient RAN with an AI-native software architecture deployable on Ericsson silicon and third-party CPUs/GPUs; transport networks; and active/ passive antennas, as well as deployment and lifecycle management services. The Cloud Software and Services segment provides core networks, network management, business and operations support systems, and network operations delivered as managed services, including secure data and voice connectivity, service monetization and orchestration tools, and network management services. The Enterprise segment offers intelligent networking and advanced communications software solutions comprising global communications platform, wireless wide area networks (WWAN), and private 5G networks. The Other segment includes RedBee Media that prepares and distributes live and on-demand video services for broadcasters, sports leagues, and communications service providers. The company has a strategic collaboration with T-Mobile US, Inc for the development of AI-native Scheduler with Link Adaptation software. The company was formerly known as Allmanna Telefon AB LM Ericsson and changed its name to Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) in January 1926. Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR reported revenue of 222B SEK in FY2025 versus 245B SEK in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 26.7B SEK in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$222B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (38Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.9% (11.3 + 2.6)
Revenue −2.3%/yr
FY21 245B SEK
FY22 274B SEK
FY23 250B SEK
FY24 259B SEK
FY25 222B SEK
Net income +2.8%/yr
FY21 23.9B SEK
FY22 18.9B SEK
FY23 −25.1B SEK
FY24 20.9M SEK
FY25 26.7B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.0 %

of which total revenue +0.1 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %

EBIT margin −0.4 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ERIC

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +48% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE97 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 39
PAST100 · sector 15
HEALTH87 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 22

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $112.15 $61.53 −45%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.21 $3.78 −63%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%
Ubiquiti Inc UI $577.76 $252.79 −56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.85 versus a price of $10.13, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ERIC?
Our model-based fair value for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR is $19.85 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.13.
What is the quality score of ERIC?
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC)?
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $240B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ERIC?
The net profit margin of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR pay a dividend?
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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