W P Carey Inc (WPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $16.1B · ISIN US92936U1097
What is W P Carey Inc really worth?
W P Carey Inc
WPC · US
A solid business, but trading 102% above our fair value of $34.80.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −2.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.64 – $76.69 · fair‑value band $26.10 – $43.50 · the $70.27 price screens above the $34.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
W P Carey Inc (WPC) currently trades at $70.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.80, implying the stock looks roughly 101.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $68.10 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the $70.27 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.88, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, W P Carey Inc generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 29.7%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. Net debt stands at $8.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.10 (bear case) to $43.50 (bull case); at $70.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −50%, WPC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($68.10) versus Asset-Based ($23.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
W. P. Carey Inc. ranks among the largest net lease REITs with a well-diversified portfolio of high-quality, operationally critical commercial real estate. It includes 1,703 net lease properties covering approximately 185 million square feet as of March 31, 2026.
Full company description
W. P. Carey Inc. ranks among the largest net lease REITs with a well-diversified portfolio of high-quality, operationally critical commercial real estate. It includes 1,703 net lease properties covering approximately 185 million square feet as of March 31, 2026. With offices in New York, London, Amsterdam and Dallas, the company remains focused on investing primarily in single-tenant, industrial, warehouse and retail properties located in the U.S. and Europe, under long-term net leases with built-in rent escalations. W. P. Carey Inc. was incorporated in 1973 in Maryland, USA.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
W P Carey Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was $466M in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution −7.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
WPC screens 102% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is W. P. Carey (WPC) A Bargain On Its Q2 2026 Results?
- Raised AFFO Guidance And Dividend Hike Might Change The Case For Investing In W. P. Carey (WPC)
- W.P. Carey's Q2 AFFO Beats Estimates on Investment Activity
- W. P. Carey Q2 26 Earnings Conference Call At 11:00 AM ET
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$27.55 | A$7.37 | −73% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $25.87 | $40.82 | +58% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$10.99 | −50% |
| Stockland SGP | A$4.59 | A$3.70 | −19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.61 | A$3.49 | −24% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.85 | A$0.5700 | −69% |
| Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL | $21.55 | $10.91 | −49% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.60 MYR | 6.66 MYR | −23% |
| T82U T82U | 1.56 SGD | 1.02 SGD | −35% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$16.67 | C$7.03 | −58% |
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