Charter Hall Group (CHC) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$10.5B (≈ $7.6B) · ISIN AU000000CHC0
What is Charter Hall Group really worth?
A strong business, but trading 73% above our fair value of A$10.99.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −18.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$13.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$7.94 – A$25.33 · fair‑value band A$8.24 – A$13.74 · the A$19.00 price screens above the A$10.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Charter Hall Group (CHC) currently trades at A$19.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$10.99, implying the stock looks roughly 72.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$21.13 per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the A$19.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$3.84, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Charter Hall Group generated revenue of A$861M at a net margin of 32.5%. Revenue grew 63.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. Net debt stands at A$209M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$8.24 (bear case) to A$13.74 (bull case); at A$19.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −42%, CHC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.6133 per share, which is 5.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$21.13) versus Asset-Based (A$3.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Charter Hall Group is Australia's leading fully integrated diversified property investment and funds management group. We use our expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity to create value and generate superior returns for our investor customers.
Full company description
Charter Hall Group is Australia's leading fully integrated diversified property investment and funds management group. We use our expertise to access, deploy, manage and invest equity to create value and generate superior returns for our investor customers. We've curated a diverse portfolio of high-quality properties across our core sectors " Office, Industrial & Logistics, Retail and Social Infrastructure. With partnerships and financial discipline at the heart of our approach, we create and invest in places that support our customers, people and communities to grow. Charter Hall Group was incorporated in 1991 in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Charter Hall Group reported revenue of A$688M in FY2025 versus A$668M in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$328M in FY2025, compounding −9.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.4 % · buybacks/dilution −2.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CHC screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Charter Hall Group (CTOUF) (FY 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Inflows and 26. ...
- Those who invested in Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) three years ago are up 87%
- With 58% institutional ownership, Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC) is a favorite amongst the big guns
- Charter Hall Group's (ASX:CHC) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 152 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$27.55 | A$7.37 | −73% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $25.87 | $40.82 | +58% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $70.51 | $34.80 | −51% |
| Stockland SGP | A$4.59 | A$3.70 | −19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.61 | A$3.49 | −24% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.85 | A$0.5700 | −69% |
| Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL | $21.55 | $10.91 | −49% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.60 MYR | 6.66 MYR | −23% |
| T82U T82U | 1.56 SGD | 1.02 SGD | −35% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$16.67 | C$7.03 | −58% |
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