ViaSat Inc (VSAT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $9.8B · ISIN US92552V1008
What is ViaSat Inc really worth?
ViaSat Inc
VSAT · US
Below-average quality, trading 54% below our fair value of $154.75.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $101.20 to $154.75 (+52.9%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −16.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($106.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($106.56 to $202.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.83 – $89.81 · fair‑value band $106.56 – $202.94 · the $71.72 price screens below the $154.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ViaSat Inc (VSAT) currently trades at $71.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $154.75, implying the stock looks roughly 53.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $158.77 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the $71.72 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.86, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, ViaSat Inc generated revenue of $4.6B at a net margin of −0.7%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at $5.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $106.56 (bear case) to $202.94 (bull case); at $71.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 116%, VSAT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($158.77) versus Dividend Discount ($2.28). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Viasat, Inc. engages in the provision of broadband and communications products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in segments, Communication Services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies.
Full company description
Viasat, Inc. engages in the provision of broadband and communications products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in segments, Communication Services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies. It offers satellite-based broadband and narrowband communications solutions; broadband services, including broadband internet access and voice over internet protocol; fixed and mobile broadband and narrowband services; develops and sells satellite, wireless products, and terminals; and design, develop, and produce space system solutions for geostationary, medium, and low earth orbit. The company also provides in-flight connectivity, narrowband safety operational data, and other complementary services; multimedia connectivity for military and government; tactical and beyond-line-of-sight communications; intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance; L-band advanced communications element terminals; enterprise connectivity solutions; Internet-of-Things; and L-band managed, energy, and prepaid internet services. In addition, it offers networking, cybersecurity, and information assurance products and services; high assurance internet protocol encryption solutions; MOJO expeditionary tactical gateway; government satellite communication systems, mobile and fixed broadband modems, ground and airborne terminals, antennas and gateways, Ka-band earth stations, and other multi-band/multi-function antennas, as well as design products for manpacks, aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, seagoing vessels, ground-mobile vehicles, space-based systems, and fixed applications. Further, the company designs and develops GEO, LEO, and MEO satellites, payload, antenna technologies, and other small satellite platforms; develops commercial communication satellite product, orchestration of sovereign and multi-orbit solutions, and direct-to-device; and licenses intellectual property. Viasat, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ViaSat Inc reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2026 versus $2.4B in FY2022, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.1M in FY2026.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Why Rocket Lab (RKLB) Could Outpace Viasat (VSAT) as Defense Space Spending Accelerates
- Q2 Rundown: Viasat (NASDAQ:VSAT) Vs Other Telecommunication Services Stocks
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 302 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $112.15 | $61.53 | −45% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥866.12 | ¥171.09 | −80% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥61.83 | ¥28.65 | −54% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | −59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.21 | $3.78 | −63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $491.24 | $236.33 | −52% |
| Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 | ¥400.03 | ¥201.38 | −50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥276.25 | ¥43.67 | −84% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC | $10.13 | $19.85 | +96% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | −50% |
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