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Vincom Retail JSC (VRE) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · VN · Market cap 56.5T VND · ISIN VN000000VRE6

What is Vincom Retail JSC really worth?

VR Vincom Retail JSC VRE · VN
Price26,500 VND
Fair Value36,826 VND
Upside+39.0%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, trading 28% below our fair value of 36,826 VND.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 76.4% net margin
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 69/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.2 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow

For context

·3.77% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 27,403 VND – 46,249 VND

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (27,403 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

41,914 VND 15,549 VND Fair Value 36,826 VND May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15,549 VND – 41,914 VND · fair‑value band 27,403 VND – 46,249 VND · the 26,500 VND price screens below the 36,826 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Vincom Retail JSC (VRE) currently trades at 26,500 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 36,826 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 36,835 VND per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the 26,500 VND price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 13,392 VND, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vincom Retail JSC generated revenue of 9.0T VND at a net margin of 76.4%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at 2.0T VND. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 27,403 VND (bear case) to 46,249 VND (bull case); at 26,500 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at 39%, VRE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1,376 VND per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 20,734 VND 25,963 VND 60,350 VND 70
Gordon GGM 10,376 VND 13,392 VND 16,576 VND 69
DDM Multi-Stage 10,376 VND 14,309 VND 19,293 VND 67
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 10,376 VND 13,392 VND 16,576 VND 69
DDM Multi-Stage 10,376 VND 14,309 VND 19,293 VND 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple 18,960 VND 25,279 VND 31,599 VND 58
P/B Multiple 31,929 VND 42,572 VND 53,215 VND 55
EV/EBIT 27,412 VND 36,835 VND 46,258 VND 66
EV/EBITDA 28,738 VND 38,603 VND 48,468 VND 67
EV/Revenue 14,734 VND 21,416 VND 28,098 VND 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 10,643 VND 14,262 VND 21,286 VND 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20,734 VND 25,963 VND 60,350 VND 70

Widest divergence: Multiples (36,835 VND) versus Dividend Discount (13,392 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (70).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.7
P/S ratio 6.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 3,056 VND price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 32.7%
Net margin 72.9% FY2025
Return on equity 14.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 48.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 9.0T VND TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6% 3y avg +6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −5.9T VND FY2025
Net debt 2.0T VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, development, and leasing of shopping centers in Vietnam. It is also involved in real estate development and transfer activities; sale of real estate; and leases investment properties, as well as offers real estate and management consulting activities.

Full company description

Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, development, and leasing of shopping centers in Vietnam. It is also involved in real estate development and transfer activities; sale of real estate; and leases investment properties, as well as offers real estate and management consulting activities. Vincom Retail Joint Stock Company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vincom Retail JSC reported revenue of 8.8T VND in FY2025 versus 5.9T VND in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 6.4T VND in FY2025, compounding +48.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 26/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.8T VND
Latest YoY
−1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in VND) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.4% (4.6 + 3.8)
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 5.9T VND
FY22 7.4T VND
FY23 9.8T VND
FY24 8.9T VND
FY25 8.8T VND
Net income +48.8%/yr
FY21 1.3T VND
FY22 2.8T VND
FY23 4.4T VND
FY24 4.1T VND
FY25 6.4T VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vincom Retail JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VRE

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 131 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE85 · sector 50
FUTURE38 · sector 29
PAST59 · sector 19
HEALTH93 · sector 77
DIVIDEND75 · sector 60

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

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Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,586 ₹645.21 −59%
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Fastighets AB BALDB kr 54.08 kr 70.70 +31%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.79 ¥0.3300 −88%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,954 CLP 2,740 CLP −31%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.41 SGD 3.23 SGD −5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vincom Retail JSC (VRE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 36,826 VND versus a price of 26,500 VND, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VRE?
Our model-based fair value for Vincom Retail JSC is 36,826 VND (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 26,500 VND.
What is the quality score of VRE?
Vincom Retail JSC has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vincom Retail JSC (VRE)?
Vincom Retail JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.0T VND (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VRE?
The net profit margin of Vincom Retail JSC is about 76.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 76.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vincom Retail JSC pay a dividend?
Vincom Retail JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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