Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $5.0B · ISIN US90278Q1085
What is Ufp Industries Inc really worth?
A solid business, trading 22% below our fair value of $107.07.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($71.01 to $137.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $61.91 – $135.66 · fair‑value band $71.01 – $137.01 · the $83.20 price screens below the $107.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI) currently trades at $83.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $107.07, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $104.60 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $83.20 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $22.00, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ufp Industries Inc generated revenue of $6.2B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $695M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $71.01 (bear case) to $137.01 (bull case); at $83.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 29%, UFPI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.16 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($104.60) versus Dividend Discount ($22.00). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
UFP Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies wood and non-wood composites, and other materials in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail, Construction, and Packaging.
Full company description
UFP Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies wood and non-wood composites, and other materials in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail, Construction, and Packaging. The Retail segment offers pressure-treated and fire-retardant products under the ProWood brand; lawn and garden products, such as wood and vinyl fencing and lattice, garden beds and planters, pergolas, picnic tables, and other landscaping products under the Outdoor Essentials brand; wood plastic composite; mineral based composite decking and related decking accessories, including aluminum railing systems, balusters, and post caps under the Surestone brand; customized and aluminum fencing; exterior siding, pattern, trim, and fascia products; and pre-painted and primed shiplap, and project boards. The Packaging segment designs, engineers, manufactures, and tests custom packaging products made of wood and metal; designs and manufactures pallets made of wood and heat-treated wood; and provides corrugate, foam, labels, strapping, and films. The Construction segment designs and manufactures roof trusses, cut-to-size dimensional and board lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board; designs and manufactures roof and floor trusses, wall panels, I-joists, lumber packages, and engineered wood components used to frame residential and light commercial projects. This segment also engages in the designing, manufacturing, and installing of customized interior fixtures, casework, and architectural millwork used in retail and commercial structures; designs, manufactures, and supplies wood forms and related products for residential building, non-residential building, distribution, and infrastructure verticals. The company was formerly known as Universal Forest Products, Inc. and changed its name to UFP Industries, Inc. in April 2020. UFP Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1955 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ufp Industries Inc reported revenue of $6.3B in FY2025 versus $8.6B in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $295M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- UFP Industries (UFPI) Down 1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
- UFP Industries to Expand Structural Packaging Capacity with New South Carolina Manufacturing Facility
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $182.07 | $145.26 | −20% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$92.39 | C$33.38 | −64% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $77.12 | $51.39 | −33% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹751.05 | ₹201.01 | −73% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.77 | C$4.54 | −69% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.69 | C$6.43 | −53% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.11 | ¥0.6700 | −78% |
| Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co 600265 | ¥24.67 | ¥2.52 | −90% |
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