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IFP.TO (IFP) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$885M (≈ $639M) · ISIN CA45868C1095

What is IFP.TO really worth?

IT IFP.TO IFP · TO
PriceC$13.39
Fair ValueC$12.86
Upside−4.0%
Quality35/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of C$12.86.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.7% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range C$3.24 to C$22.46
!Weak on valuation: 28 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range C$3.24 – C$22.46

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from C$6.43 to C$12.86 (+100.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (C$3.24 to C$22.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$43.90 C$7.15 Fair Value C$12.86 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$7.15 – C$43.90 · fair‑value band C$3.24 – C$22.46 · the C$13.39 price screens above the C$12.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

IFP.TO (IFP) currently trades at C$13.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$12.86, implying the stock looks roughly 4.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, IFP.TO generated revenue of C$2.7B at a net margin of −13.7%. Revenue declined 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −27.5%. Net debt stands at C$841M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$3.24 (bear case) to C$22.46 (bull case); at C$13.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −4%, IFP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA best evidence C$2.98 C$7.79 C$12.59 62
NCAV (Graham) C$9.64 C$12.92 C$19.28 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA best evidence C$2.98 C$7.79 C$12.59 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$9.64 C$12.92 C$19.28 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (C$12.92) versus Multiples (C$7.79). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (62).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.33 TTM
EPS (TTM) C$−6.54
Net margin −12.3% FY2025
Return on equity −27.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) C$2.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −12.5% 3y avg −15.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −94.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −C$45.7M FY2025
Net debt C$841M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Interfor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells wood products in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Taiwan, and internationally. It offers decking, fascia and board, v-joint paneling, fineline paneling, siding products, and structural lumber products.

Full company description

Interfor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells wood products in Canada, the United States, Japan, China, Taiwan, and internationally. It offers decking, fascia and board, v-joint paneling, fineline paneling, siding products, and structural lumber products. The company also provides stock for windows and doors; supplies specialty materials; and logs and wood chips. Its products are used for residential, commercial, and industrial applications. The company was formerly known as International Forest Products Limited and changed its name to Interfor Corporation in May 2014. Interfor Corporation was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Burnaby, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IFP.TO reported revenue of C$2.8B in FY2025 versus C$3.3B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −C$344M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$2.8B
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (32Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 C$3.3B
FY22 C$4.6B
FY23 C$3.3B
FY24 C$3.0B
FY25 C$2.8B
Net income
FY21 C$819M
FY22 C$598M
FY23 −C$267M
FY24 −C$304M
FY25 −C$344M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IFP.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFP

Peer Group

Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth −13% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE28 · sector 5
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 4
HEALTH69 · sector 92
DIVIDEND0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD $182.07 $145.26 −20%
West Fraser Timber Co WFG C$92.39 C$33.38 −64%
UFP Industries, Inc UFPI $88.29 $107.07 +21%
Stella-Jones Inc SJ C$75.22 C$92.56 +23%
Boise Cascade Company BCC $77.12 $51.39 −33%
Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY ₹751.05 ₹201.01 −73%
DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 ¥12.58 ¥14.78 +17%
Canfor Corporation CFP C$14.77 C$4.54 −69%
Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 ¥3.11 ¥0.6700 −78%
Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co 600265 ¥24.67 ¥2.52 −90%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IFP.TO (IFP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$12.86 versus a price of C$13.39, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IFP?
Our model-based fair value for IFP.TO is C$12.86 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$13.39.
What is the quality score of IFP?
IFP.TO has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IFP.TO (IFP)?
IFP.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$2.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IFP?
The net profit margin of IFP.TO is about −13.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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