Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.1B CNY (≈ $612M) · ISIN CNE000000QB0

What is Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The model range is unusually wide (¥0.6600 to ¥2.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.26 – ¥5.03 · fair‑value band ¥0.6600 – ¥2.06 · the ¥3.17 price screens above the ¥1.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd (600076) currently trades at ¥3.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 136.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.80 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥3.17 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5500, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 354M CNY. Revenue declined 39.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −10.2%. Net debt stands at 809M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.6600 (bear case) to ¥2.06 (bull case); at ¥3.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −58%, 600076 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.80) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5500). Highest evidence: DDM Multi-Stage (65).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China.

Full company description

Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, production, construction, and sale of wooden structure buildings in China. The company offers container flooring products, including bamboo-wood composite, bamboo mat coated COSB, wear-resistant surface COSB, coated COSB, bamboo-wood composite COSB, and solid wood multi-layer container flooring products; and forestry economic services, such as carbon sink, understory planting, and forest health care services. It is also involved in the processing of wood and sale of forestry products, as well as civilian OSB board operations. Kangxin New Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Xiaogan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kangxin New Materials Co Ltd reported revenue of 377M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −26.4%/yr. Reported net income was −385M CNY in FY2025.

600076 screens 137% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →

Peer Group

Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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