Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc (SSD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $7.8B · ISIN US8290731053
What is Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc really worth?
Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc
SSD · US
A solid business, but trading 23% above our fair value of $145.26.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −9.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($88.69 to $207.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $74.39 – $211.32 · fair‑value band $88.69 – $207.86 · the $178.08 price screens above the $145.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc (SSD) currently trades at $178.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $145.26, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $142.60 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $178.08 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $33.06, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of 14.9%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. Net debt stands at $103M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $88.69 (bear case) to $207.86 (bull case); at $178.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at −18%, SSD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.01 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($142.60) versus Asset-Based ($33.06). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural solutions for wood, concrete, and steel connections in the North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Full company description
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural solutions for wood, concrete, and steel connections in the North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides structural products for wood construction, such as connectors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems; anchor, repair, protection and strengthening products including coatings, sealers, mortars, fiberglass and fiber-reinforced polymer systems and asphalt products. In addition, the company offers engineering and design services, as well as software solutions. It markets its products to the residential construction, industrial, commercial and infrastructure construction, remodeling and do-it-yourself markets. It offers engineering and design services. It serves its products to dealers, home centers, wood component manufacturers, OEM-relationships, distributors, and contractors industries. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Simpson Manufacturing Company Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was $345M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +12.2 % · buybacks/dilution +1.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SSD screens 23% overvalued. Compare with West Fraser Timber Co →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- How Simpson’s Q2 2026 Profit Gains and Dividend Declaration Will Impact Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) Investors
- Simpson’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions
- Stocks making big moves yesterday: H&R Block, Corning, Sherwin-Williams, Brown & Brown, and Simpson
- Simpson (SSD) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$92.39 | C$33.38 | −64% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $88.29 | $107.07 | +21% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $77.12 | $51.39 | −33% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹751.05 | ₹201.01 | −73% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.77 | C$4.54 | −69% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.69 | C$6.43 | −53% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.11 | ¥0.6700 | −78% |
| Yunnan Jinggu Forestry Co 600265 | ¥24.67 | ¥2.52 | −90% |
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