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UDR Inc (UDR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $14.2B · ISIN US9026531049

What is UDR Inc really worth?

UI UDR Inc logo UDR Inc UDR · US
Price$36.37
Fair Value$19.76
Upside−45.7%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 84% above our fair value of $19.76.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 27.8% net margin

Risks

!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 12 out of 100

For context

·4.74% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $11.10 – $24.70

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($11.10 to $24.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$50.62 $28.13 Fair Value $19.76 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $28.13 – $50.62 · fair‑value band $11.10 – $24.70 · the $36.37 price screens above the $19.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

UDR Inc (UDR) currently trades at $36.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.76, implying the stock looks roughly 84.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $28.37 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the $36.37 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.48, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, UDR Inc generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of 27.8%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at $6.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.10 (bear case) to $24.70 (bull case); at $36.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −46%, UDR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $9.31 $10.63 $16.68 75
FCF DCF $4.91 $20.03 $44.52 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.44 $37.15 $65.87 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.91 $20.03 $44.52 72
5Y Revenue Exit $2.32 $10.76 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.44 $37.15 $65.87 71
10Y Revenue Exit $5.51 $15.15 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.24 $30.29 $58.99 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.18 $33.65 $53.38 66
DDM Multi-Stage $16.18 $28.37 $35.32 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple $14.82 $19.76 $24.70 58
P/B Multiple $14.82 $19.76 $24.70 55
EV/EBIT $4.03 $9.48 61
EV/EBITDA $21.53 $34.64 $47.76 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.06 $6.78 $10.12 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.05 $19.69 $43.22 71
Rev-Margin DCF $2.48 $10.88 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $9.31 $10.63 $16.68 75

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($28.37) versus Growth DCF ($2.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 26.1 as of Jun 25, 2026
P/S ratio 5.76 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.47 price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.1
Dividend yield 4.7% payout 117%
Net margin 22.1% FY2025
Return on equity 12.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 22.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2% 3y avg +4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +152%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $614M FY2025
Net debt $6.2B FY2025 · ≈ 10.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

UDR, Inc. is a S&P 500 company, is a leading multifamily real estate investment trust with a demonstrated performance history of delivering superior and dependable returns by successfully managing, buying, selling, developing and redeveloping attractive real estate properties in targeted U.S. markets.

Full company description

UDR, Inc. is a S&P 500 company, is a leading multifamily real estate investment trust with a demonstrated performance history of delivering superior and dependable returns by successfully managing, buying, selling, developing and redeveloping attractive real estate properties in targeted U.S. markets. As of December 31, 2025, UDR owned or had an ownership position in 60,941 apartment homes, including 300 apartment homes under development. For over 53 years, UDR has delivered long-term value to shareholders, the best standard of service to residents and the highest quality experience for associates. UDR, Inc. was incorporated in 1972 in Maryland, and is based in Highlands Ranch, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

UDR Inc reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was $378M in FY2025, compounding +26.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+32.7% (28.0 + 4.7)
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $1.7B
FY25 $1.7B
Net income +26.0%/yr
FY21 $150M
FY22 $86.9M
FY23 $444M
FY24 $89.6M
FY25 $378M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 %

of which total revenue +7.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.6 %

EBIT margin −0.4 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

UDR screens 84% overvalued. Compare with EQR →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UDR Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UDR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Residential · 45 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 8.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE21 · sector 12
PAST49 · sector 6
HEALTH12 · sector 61
DIVIDEND95 · sector 78

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is UDR Inc (UDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.76 versus a price of $36.37, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UDR?
Our model-based fair value for UDR Inc is $19.76 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $36.37.
What is the quality score of UDR?
UDR Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of UDR Inc (UDR)?
UDR Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UDR?
The net profit margin of UDR Inc is about 27.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does UDR Inc pay a dividend?
UDR Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.74% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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