Camden Property Trust (CPT) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $10.8B · ISIN US1331311027
What is Camden Property Trust really worth?
Camden Property Trust
CPT · US
A solid business, but trading 154% above our fair value of $41.51.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −4.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($82.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($38.07 to $82.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $76.23 – $153.13 · fair‑value band $38.07 – $82.32 · the $105.60 price screens above the $41.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Camden Property Trust (CPT) currently trades at $105.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.51, implying the stock looks roughly 154.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $73.91 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the $105.60 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $10.78, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Camden Property Trust generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 24.5%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $3.9B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $38.07 (bear case) to $82.32 (bull case); at $105.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −61%, CPT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($73.91) versus Growth DCF ($10.78). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities. Camden owns and operates 173 properties containing 58,811 apartment homes across the United States.
Full company description
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities. Camden owns and operates 173 properties containing 58,811 apartment homes across the United States. Upon completion of 3 properties currently under development, the Company's portfolio will increase to 59,973 apartment homes in 176 properties. Camden Property Trust was established on May 25, 1993, and incorporated in Texas. Camden Property Trust is based in Houston, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Camden Property Trust reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $384M in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.9 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CPT screens 154% overvalued. Compare with EQR →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Camden CEO talks Sun Belt optimism, EQR-AVB merger
- Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish on Camden Property Stock?
- Camden Property Trust (CPT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Camden’s Keith Oden retires
Peer Group
REIT - Residential · 45 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Residential median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| EQR EQR | $66.79 | $36.19 | −46% |
| Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS | $284.03 | $177.90 | −37% |
| Invitation Homes INVH | $29.78 | $15.91 | −47% |
| Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA | $129.36 | $65.28 | −50% |
| Sun Communities, Inc SUI | $118.34 | $121.64 | +3% |
| UDR, Inc UDR | $37.51 | $19.76 | −47% |
| American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH | $34.56 | $21.07 | −39% |
| Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS | $65.44 | $20.93 | −68% |
| Millrose Properties, Inc MRP | $31.72 | $41.87 | +32% |
| Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust CARUN | C$33.70 | C$21.86 | −35% |
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