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Invitation Homes (INVH) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $16.9B

IH Invitation Homes logo Invitation Homes INVH · US
Price$30.30
Fair Value$15.91
Upside-47.5%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 21.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.14% dividend yield
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $12.62 – $20.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $16.82 to $15.91 (−5.4%) since Jul 26, 2026. Share price +0.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$39.14 $24.10 Fair Value $15.91 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.10 – $39.14 · fair‑value band $12.62 – $20.41 · the $30.30 price screens above the $15.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Invitation Homes (INVH) currently trades at $30.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.91, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Invitation Homes generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of 21.0%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at $8.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.62 (bear case) to $20.41 (bull case); at $30.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -47%, INVH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.43 $20.16 $42.72 80
Residual Income $12.71 $13.15 $13.46 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4000 $8.89 $19.52 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.41 $20.92 $45.11 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4000 $8.90 $20.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.48 $33.04 $58.37 41
10Y Revenue Exit $1.92 $10.53 $22.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.20 $27.91 $53.98 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple $12.62 $16.82 $21.03 58
P/B Multiple $12.62 $16.82 $21.03 55
EV/EBIT $6.94 $13.80 $20.66 53
EV/EBITDA $18.29 $28.94 $39.58 54
EV/Revenue $2.57 $7.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.02 $10.75 $16.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.43 $20.16 $42.72 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4000 $8.89 $19.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.71 $13.15 $13.46 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($20.92) versus Growth DCF ($8.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin 21.0%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow $963M FY2025
P/E ratio 31.9
More key figures
Operating margin 24.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.9500
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.7%
Net debt $8.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Invitation Homes is a leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, offering residents high quality homes in sought after neighborhoods across the United States.

Full company description

Invitation Homes is a leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, offering residents high quality homes in sought after neighborhoods across the United States. As of December 31, 2025, we wholly own 86,192 homes for lease, jointly own 8,006 homes for lease, and provide professional third-party property and asset management services for an additional 15,866 homes, all of which are primarily located in 16 core markets across the country. These homes help meet the needs of a growing share of Americans who count on the ease, flexibility, and savings of leasing. We provide our residents access to updated homes with features they value, as well as close proximity to jobs and good schools. The continued demand for our product proves that the choice and flexibility we offer are attractive to many people. We operate in markets with strong demand drivers, high barriers to entry, and high rent growth potential, primarily in the Western United States, Florida, and the Southeast United States. Through disciplined market and asset selection, as well as through strategic mergers and acquisitions, we designed our wholly and jointly owned portfolios to capture the operating benefits of local density as well as economies of scale that we believe cannot be readily replicated. Since our founding in 2012, we have built a proven, vertically integrated operating platform that enables us to effectively and efficiently acquire, renovate, lease, maintain, and manage both the homes we own and those we manage on behalf of others. The portfolio of homes we own average approximately 1,880 square feet with three to four bedrooms and two bathrooms, appealing to a resident base that we believe is less transitory than a typical multifamily resident. We invest in the upfront renovation of homes in our portfolio in order to address capital needs, reduce ongoing maintenance costs, and drive resident demand Invitation Homes Inc. was incorporated in 6th June 2012 and is based in Dallas, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Invitation Homes reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $588M in FY2025, compounding +22.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 $2.0B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +22.5%/yr
FY21 $261M
FY22 $383M
FY23 $519M
FY24 $454M
FY25 $588M

INVH screens 47% overvalued. Compare with AvalonBay Communities, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Invitation Homes Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INVH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Residential stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AvalonBay Communities, Inc AVB $179.79 $126.12 -30%
EQR EQR $64.42 $36.19 -44%
Essex Property Trust, Inc ESS $282.46 $177.90 -37%
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc MAA $132.33 $65.28 -51%
Sun Communities, Inc SUI $118.34 $121.64 +3%
UDR, Inc UDR $37.30 $19.76 -47%
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH or the General Partner) AMH $33.83 $21.07 -38%
Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc ELS $63.97 $20.93 -67%
Camden Property Trust, an S&P 500 Company CPT $108.38 $41.51 -62%
Millrose Properties, Inc MRP $29.76 $41.87 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Invitation Homes (INVH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.91 versus a price of $30.30, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INVH?
Our model-based fair value for Invitation Homes is $15.91 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.30.
What is the quality score of INVH?
Invitation Homes has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Invitation Homes (INVH)?
Invitation Homes reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INVH?
The net profit margin of Invitation Homes is about 21.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Invitation Homes pay a dividend?
Invitation Homes currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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