Tradeweb Markets Inc (TW) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $21.8B
Tradeweb Markets Inc
TW · US
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $42.40 to $49.17 (+16.0%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($61.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $51.40 – $148.21 · fair‑value band $36.88 – $61.46 · the $105.53 price screens above the $49.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Tradeweb Markets Inc (TW) currently trades at $105.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.17, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tradeweb Markets Inc generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 40.3%. Revenue grew 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $36.88 (bear case) to $61.46 (bull case); at $105.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -53%, TW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($42.40) versus Dividend Discount ($7.67). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces in the United States and internationally. The company offers marketplaces that facilitate trading products across various asset classes, including rates, credit, equities, and money markets.
Full company description
Tradeweb Markets Inc. builds and operates electronic marketplaces in the United States and internationally. The company offers marketplaces that facilitate trading products across various asset classes, including rates, credit, equities, and money markets. It also provides pre-trade data and analytics, such as AI-Price, SNAP+, iNAV for ETFs, integrations, and LSEG market data; and trade execution comprising request-for-quote, request-for-market, request-for-stream, list trading, compression, blast all-to-all, click-to-trade, portfolio trading, session-based, central limit order book, bilateral firm streams, inventory-based, rematch, voice, futures vs. cash spreading, and dealer algorithmic suite. In addition, the company offers trade processing; and post-trade data, analytics, and reporting, which include transaction cost analysis, benchmark prices, and APA. It serves institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate clients, such as asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, central banks, banks and dealers, proprietary trading firms, retail brokerage and financial advisory firms, regional dealers, and corporations. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Tradeweb Markets Inc. is a subsidiary of Refinitiv Parent Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tradeweb Markets Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was $813M in FY2025, compounding +37.6%/yr from FY2021.
TW screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Tradeweb Reports July 2026 Total Trading Volume of $67.5 Trillion and Average Daily Volume of $2.9 Trillion
- Should Tradeweb’s Earnings Beat, Buybacks and New Dividend Payout Require Action From Tradeweb Markets (TW) Investors?
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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