Robinhood Markets, Inc (HOOD) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $101B
Robinhood Markets, Inc
HOOD · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $16.19 to $30.94 (+91.1%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −12.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($86.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($23.20 to $86.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.89 – $152.46 · fair‑value band $23.20 – $86.32 · the $99.37 price screens above the $30.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Robinhood Markets, Inc (HOOD) currently trades at $99.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.94, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Robinhood Markets, Inc generated revenue of $4.6B at a net margin of 41.1%. Revenue grew 15.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.5%. Net debt stands at $11.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $23.20 (bear case) to $86.32 (bull case); at $99.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -69%, HOOD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($83.30) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. The company's platform allows users to invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and American depository receipts.
Full company description
Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. The company's platform allows users to invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and American depository receipts. It offers fractional trading, recurring investments, access to investing on margin, fully-paid securities lending, cash sweep, instant withdrawals, retirement program, around-the-clock trading, joint investing accounts, event contracts, future contract services, and short selling. The company also provides various learning and education solutions comprise Snacks, an accessible digest of business news stories for a new generation of investors; Learn, which is an online collection of guides, feature tutorials, and financial dictionary; Newsfeeds that offer access to free, premium news from sites from various sites, such as Barron's, Reuters, and Dow Jones. In addition, the company offers In-App Education, a resource that covers investing fundamentals, including why people invest, a stock market overview, and tips on how to define investing goals, as well as allows customers to understand the basics of investing before their first trade; and Crypto Learn and Earn, an educational module available to various crypto customers through Robinhood Learn to teach customers the basics related to cryptocurrency. Further, it provides Robinhood credit cards, cash card and spending accounts, and wallets. Robinhood Markets, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Robinhood Markets, Inc reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025.
HOOD screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Coinbase Global, Robinhood Markets and Interactive Brokers
- Robinhood Raises $225.5 Million to Put Retail Money Into Startups
- Update: Market Chatter: Robinhood Plans to Accelerate Debuts for Publicly Traded Closed-end Funds
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 425 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,050 KRW | 18,009 KRW | -53% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 118,600 KRW | 52,717 KRW | -56% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 200,500 KRW | 189,335 KRW | -6% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 28,550 KRW | 22,396 KRW | -22% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 93,100 KRW | 75,573 KRW | -19% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 299,000 KRW | 214,812 KRW | -28% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 25,300 VND | 17,375 VND | -31% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 294.30 ARS | -6% |
| Daishin Securities Co 003540 | 26,950 KRW | 48,790 KRW | +81% |
| SK Securities Co 001515 | 4,285 KRW | 1,395 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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