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Huatai Securities Co Ltd (601688) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 186B CNY (≈ $27.8B) · ISIN CNE100000LQ8

What is Huatai Securities Co Ltd really worth?

HS Huatai Securities Co Ltd 601688 · SHG
Price¥19.56
Fair Value¥19.26
Upside−1.5%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥19.26.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 44.4% net margin
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.81% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥14.45 – ¥24.08

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.56 ¥11.59 Fair Value ¥19.26 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.59 – ¥25.56 · fair‑value band ¥14.45 – ¥24.08 · the ¥19.56 price screens above the ¥19.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Huatai Securities Co Ltd (601688) currently trades at ¥19.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.26, implying the stock looks roughly 1.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 17 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huatai Securities Co Ltd generated revenue of 39.5B CNY at a net margin of 44.4%. Revenue grew 45.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 314B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥14.45 (bear case) to ¥24.08 (bull case); at ¥19.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −2%, 601688 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.8901 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple ¥14.61 ¥19.49 ¥24.36 53
NCAV (Graham) ¥11.46 ¥15.36 ¥22.92 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple ¥14.61 ¥19.49 ¥24.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥11.46 ¥15.36 ¥22.92 52

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥19.49) versus Asset-Based (¥15.36). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (53).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.1 as of Jun 7, 2026
P/S ratio 5.12 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.86 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.1
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 29.6%
Net margin 50.5% FY2025
Return on equity 8.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 58.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 39.5B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.0% 3y avg +2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −13.8B CNY FY2025
Net cash 314B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides securities and financial services for individual, enterprise, and institutional clients in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management, Institutional Services, Investment Management, International Business, and Other segments.

Full company description

Huatai Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides securities and financial services for individual, enterprise, and institutional clients in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management, Institutional Services, Investment Management, International Business, and Other segments. The company offers wealth management services, including securities, futures, and options brokerage, financial products sales, fund investment advisory, and capital-based intermediary services; asset allocation; and margin financing, securities lending, securities-backed lending, and stock pledged repurchase services, as well as trades in stocks, funds, and bonds on behalf of clients. It also provides investment banking services comprising domestic and overseas equity financing, bond financing, and financial advisory; prime brokerage services, such as asset custody and fund services; research and institutional sales; equity securities and fixed income investments and transactions; and over-the-counter financial products and transactions services. In addition, the company provides asset management services, private equity investment, alternative investments, and commodities trading and arbitrage services; overseas business; fintech and digital services; and platforms for investment management and banking, FICC trading, cross-border and structured finance, equity derivatives, equity research and sales, and online securities lending. Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is based in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huatai Securities Co Ltd reported revenue of 32.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 40.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was 16.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
32.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−19.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.4% (8.6 + 2.8)
Revenue −5.6%/yr
FY21 40.9B CNY
FY22 29.9B CNY
FY23 34.9B CNY
FY24 40.3B CNY
FY25 32.4B CNY
Net income +5.3%/yr
FY21 13.3B CNY
FY22 11.1B CNY
FY23 12.8B CNY
FY24 15.4B CNY
FY25 16.4B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +4.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.6 %

of which total revenue +9.9 % · buybacks/dilution −4.8 %

EBIT margin −2.6 %
Tax rate +2.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huatai Securities Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601688

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 453 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.72× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE31 · sector 10
FUTURE100 · sector 91
PAST34 · sector 30
HEALTH84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND56 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $214.77 $138.97 −35%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $1,034 $756.89 −27%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $110.16 $66.17 −40%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $104.26 $30.94 −70%
Macquarie Group MQG A$251.87 A$75.58 −70%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥27.93 ¥17.68 −37%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.87 ¥18.62 +4%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥19.42 ¥4.77 −75%
CSC Financial Co 601066 ¥25.78 ¥14.17 −45%
Nomura Holdings NMR $10.30 $9.99 −3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huatai Securities Co Ltd (601688) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥19.26 versus a price of ¥19.56, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601688?
Our model-based fair value for Huatai Securities Co Ltd is ¥19.26 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.56.
What is the quality score of 601688?
Huatai Securities Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huatai Securities Co Ltd (601688)?
Huatai Securities Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 39.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601688?
The net profit margin of Huatai Securities Co Ltd is about 44.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 44.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huatai Securities Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Huatai Securities Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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