Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $12.6M · ISIN US8805914095

What is Tennessee Valley Authority really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.93 – $24.55 · fair‑value band $18.97 – $32.78 · the $23.44 price screens below the $32.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) currently trades at $23.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.78, implying the stock looks roughly 28.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $44.52 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the $23.44 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.14, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Net debt stands at $49.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.97 (bear case) to $32.78 (bull case); at $23.44, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 40%, TVE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($44.52) versus Asset-Based ($22.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Tennessee Valley Authority engages in the production and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates power from coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric facilities, and combustion turbine and diesel generators.

Full company description

Tennessee Valley Authority engages in the production and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates power from coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric facilities, and combustion turbine and diesel generators. The company sells power at wholesale to distributor customers comprising municipalities and cooperatives that resell the power to their customers at a retail rate. It also supplies power directly to federal agencies and customers with large or unusual loads, as well as customers with whom it has entered into exchange power arrangements. As of September 30, 2008, it operated various power generating facilities, including 29 conventional hydroelectric sites, 1 pumped storage hydroelectric site, 11 coal-fired sites, 3 nuclear sites, 11 combustion turbine sites, 2 diesel generator sites, 1 wind energy site, 1 digester gas site, 1 biomass cofiring site, and 15 solar energy sites. The company supplies power in Tennessee, northern Alabama, northeastern Mississippi, and southwestern Kentucky and in portions of northern Georgia, western North Carolina, and southwestern Virginia to approximately nine million customers. It also manages the Tennessee River and its tributaries for various river-system purposes, such as navigation; flood damage reduction; power generation; environmental stewardship; shoreline use; and water supply for power plant operations, consumer use, recreation, and industry. The company was founded in 1931 and is based in Knoxville, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tennessee Valley Authority reported revenue of $13.7B in FY2025 versus $10.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.4B in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Industrials · 5415 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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