EN DE

AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · PH · Market cap 104B PHP (≈ $1.7B) · ISIN PHY1001H1024

What is AC Energy Philippines Inc really worth?

AE AC Energy Philippines Inc ACEN · PSE
Price2.73 PHP
Fair Value2.05 PHP
Upside−24.9%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 33% above our fair value of 2.05 PHP.

Watch AC Energy Philippines Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Moderate debt
!Trails peers (1/9)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 1.53 PHP – 2.99 PHP

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.53 PHP to 2.99 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

12.16 PHP 2.13 PHP Fair Value 2.05 PHP Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.13 PHP – 12.16 PHP · fair‑value band 1.53 PHP – 2.99 PHP · the 2.73 PHP price screens above the 2.05 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) currently trades at 2.73 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.05 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4.49 PHP per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2.73 PHP price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.95 PHP, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.2 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.53 PHP (bear case) to 2.99 PHP (bull case); at 2.73 PHP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at −25%, ACEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.2305 PHP per share, which is 11.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence 3.10 PHP 3.24 PHP 3.35 PHP 76
Growth-Adj P/E 3.15 PHP 4.49 PHP 5.84 PHP 67
Gordon GGM 1.11 PHP 2.31 PHP 3.67 PHP 66
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.67 PHP 7.39 PHP 10.12 PHP 64
Lynch FV 1.91 PHP 2.73 PHP 3.55 PHP 61
PEG = 1.0 1.91 PHP 2.73 PHP 3.55 PHP 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.11 PHP 2.31 PHP 3.67 PHP 66
DDM Multi-Stage 1.11 PHP 1.95 PHP 2.43 PHP 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.88 PHP 5.17 PHP 6.47 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 1.47 PHP 1.96 PHP 2.45 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 3.14 PHP 4.19 PHP 5.23 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 0.6800 PHP 1.90 PHP 3.12 PHP 61
EV/EBITDA 0.4800 PHP 1.63 PHP 2.79 PHP 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.94 PHP 2.60 PHP 3.88 PHP 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence 3.10 PHP 3.24 PHP 3.35 PHP 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.15 PHP 4.49 PHP 5.84 PHP 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (4.49 PHP) versus Dividend Discount (1.95 PHP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Notify me when ACEN reaches fair value

Put ACEN on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.2 as of Jul 10, 2026
P/S ratio 7.08 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.2305 PHP price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2
Dividend yield 4.4% payout 52.5%
Net margin 25.1% FY2024
Return on equity 2,004% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 2
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

AC Energy Philippines Inc reported revenue of 37.3B PHP in FY2024 versus 20.5B PHP in FY2020, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.4B PHP in FY2024, compounding +21.5%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
37.3B PHP
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in PHP) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.6% (−20.0 + 4.4)
Revenue +16.2%/yr
FY20 20.5B PHP
FY21 26.1B PHP
FY22 35.2B PHP
FY23 36.5B PHP
FY24 37.3B PHP
Net income +21.5%/yr
FY20 4.3B PHP
FY21 5.3B PHP
FY22 13.1B PHP
FY23 7.4B PHP
FY24 9.4B PHP

ACEN screens 33% overvalued. Compare with MER →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

AC Energy Philippines Inc · Fair Value
2.05 PHP −33%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AC Energy Philippines Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACEN

Peer Group

Industrials · 5415 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 5
FUTURE0 · sector 23
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH59 · sector 94
DIVIDEND89 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Utilities & IPPs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MER MER 438.80 PHP 660.81 PHP +51%
AEV AEV 32.95 PHP 25.80 PHP −22%
INDIGRIDIV INDIGRIDIV ₹175.22 ₹96.05 −45%
513683 513683 ₹275.35 ₹804.86 +192%
SPC SPC 9.28 PHP 3.40 PHP −63%
VVT VVT 20.65 PHP 71.35 PHP +246%
Entergy New Orleans, LLC ENO $20.90 $25.90 +24%
SPNEC SPNEC 1.28 PHP 3.72 PHP +191%
SDN Company 099220 511.00 KRW 716.47 KRW +40%
Tennessee Valley Authority TVE $23.52 $32.78 +39%

Compare AC Energy Philippines Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Utilities stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.05 PHP versus a price of 2.73 PHP, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ACEN?
Our model-based fair value for AC Energy Philippines Inc is 2.05 PHP (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.73 PHP.
What is the quality score of ACEN?
AC Energy Philippines Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of ACEN?
The net profit margin of AC Energy Philippines Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does AC Energy Philippines Inc pay a dividend?
AC Energy Philippines Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.43% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
Free · no account needed

Watch AC Energy Philippines Inc in the live analysis

One click puts AC Energy Philippines Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.