SPNEC Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PH · Market cap 11.4B PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −9.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 147% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.38 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (2.38 PHP to 4.75 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 0.9100 PHP – 2.21 PHP · fair‑value band 2.38 PHP – 4.75 PHP · the 1.29 PHP price screens below the 3.19 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SPNEC (SPNEC) currently trades at 1.29 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.19 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 147.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Our scenario range runs from 2.38 PHP (bear case) to 4.75 PHP (bull case); at 1.29 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 147%, SPNEC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
SPNEC reported revenue of 1.2B PHP in FY2024 versus 0 PHP in FY2020. Reported net income was −1.6B PHP in FY2024.
Watch SPNEC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Industrials · 5373 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Utilities & IPPs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEV AEV | 32.95 PHP | 25.80 PHP | -22% |
| INDIGRIDIV INDIGRIDIV | ₹178.26 | ₹96.05 | -46% |
| ACEN ACEN | 3.00 PHP | 2.05 PHP | -32% |
| SPC SPC | 10.46 PHP | 4.73 PHP | -55% |
| VVT VVT | 20.20 PHP | 69.79 PHP | +245% |
| Entergy New Orleans, LLC ENO | $20.97 | $25.85 | +23% |
| SDN Company 099220 | 693.00 KRW | 482.80 KRW | -30% |
| Tennessee Valley Authority TVE | $23.48 | $32.44 | +38% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,886 ARS | -27% |
| E.ON SE EON | 6,934 HUF | 8,734 HUF | +26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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