Tate & Lyle PLC (TATE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 2.5B GBX · ISIN GB00BP92CJ43
What is Tate & Lyle PLC really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 85% above our fair value of £3.01.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £3.09 to £3.01 (−2.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£4.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (£2.44 to £4.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £3.22 – £7.49 · fair‑value band £2.44 – £4.42 · the £5.58 price screens above the £3.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tate & Lyle PLC (TATE) currently trades at £5.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.01, implying the stock looks roughly 85.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £4.60 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the £5.58 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at £1.56, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tate & Lyle PLC generated revenue of £2.0B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 32.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at £950M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £2.44 (bear case) to £4.42 (bull case); at £5.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −46%, TATE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0095 per share, which is 0.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£4.60) versus Growth DCF (£1.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tate & Lyle plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of ingredients and solutions to the food, beverages, and other industries in North America, Asia, Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and Europe. Its portfolio includes sweeteners, fibres, stabilisers and functional systems, hydrocolloids, and starches, proteins, and functional flours.
Full company description
Tate & Lyle plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of ingredients and solutions to the food, beverages, and other industries in North America, Asia, Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and Europe. Its portfolio includes sweeteners, fibres, stabilisers and functional systems, hydrocolloids, and starches, proteins, and functional flours. The company's products are used in beverages, dairy, soups, sauces and dressings, bakery and snacks, confectionery, household, clinical nutrition, industrial, meat and seafood, and personal care applications. The company has a strategic collaboration with BioHarvest Sciences Inc. The company was incorporated in 1903 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tate & Lyle PLC reported revenue of £2.0B in FY2026 versus £1.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was £97.0M in FY2026, compounding −19.9%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue −3.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TATE screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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