TAL Education Group (TAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.3B · ISIN US8740801043
What is TAL Education Group really worth?
TAL Education Group
TAL · US
A strong business, trading 23% below our fair value of $15.60.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (80/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($12.53 to $48.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.75 – $33.27 · fair‑value band $12.53 – $48.11 · the $11.99 price screens below the $15.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
TAL Education Group (TAL) currently trades at $11.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.60, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $54.53 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $11.99 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.21, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, TAL Education Group generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.53 (bear case) to $48.11 (bull case); at $11.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 30%, TAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 6 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.4764 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($54.53) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0500). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
Notify me when TAL reaches fair value
Put TAL on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings.
Full company description
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
TAL Education Group reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2026 versus $4.4B in FY2022, a compound −9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $533M in FY2026.
Watch TAL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
- How Much Upside is Left in TAL Education (TAL)? Wall Street Analysts Think 26.66%
- TAL vs. LAUR: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
- Is TAL Education Group (TAL) a Great Value Stock Right Now?
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 142 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU | $58.22 | $48.37 | −17% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $38.36 | $41.45 | +8% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹119.46 | ₹13.69 | −89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $151.19 | $152.01 | +1% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $84.58 | $139.45 | +65% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | −18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $33.81 | $40.65 | +20% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $81.90 | $105.48 | +29% |
| Offcn Education Technology Co 002607 | ¥2.03 | ¥0.3300 | −84% |
Compare TAL Education Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is TAL Education Group (TAL) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TAL?
What is the quality score of TAL?
What is the revenue of TAL Education Group (TAL)?
What is the net profit margin of TAL?
Does TAL Education Group pay a dividend?
Watch TAL Education Group in the live analysis
One click puts TAL Education Group on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.